Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 1/29/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets travel to the State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Thursday night. Here’s a Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks Pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview 

The Houston Rockets have been in fine form as they’ve won five of their last seven games overall. They will be eager to bounce back in this one after having their two-game win streak snapped by the Spurs in a 111-99 loss last night. Amen Thompson led the team with 25 points, seven rebounds and four assists on 11 of 23 shooting, Kevin Durant added 24 points with six assists while Alperen Sengun tallied 18 points with 10 rebounds and seven assists.

As a team, the Rockets shot just 39 percent from the field and eight of 23 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 36 points in the first quarter to take an early 15-point lead. But they allowed the Spurs to hang around, and it cost them in the fourth quarter where they went ice-cold and scored just 13 points to allow the Spurs to run away with it in the end. 

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks are starting to heat up as they are now gunning for a fifth straight victory after running past the Celtics in an impressive 117-106 road win last night. Nickeil Alexander-Walker led the team with 21 points, Jalen Johnson added 19 points with 14 rebounds and seven assists while Onyeka Okongwu chipped in with 17 points.

As a team, the Hawks shot 48 percent from the field and 18 of 42 from the 3-point line. However, this win was more about their defense as they were always in control after dominating the Celtics by 38-18 in the first quarter to take an early 23-point lead. It was a real balanced scoring effort as six players scored at least 13 points with nobody scoring more than 21 points. 

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The Rockets have lost each of their last five games as road favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Hawks have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 14 games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Hawks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against the Rockets following a win.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won each of their last 11 night games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Hawks have lost each of their last seven games at State Farm Arena against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games following a home loss.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the Hawks’ last 10 games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Rockets’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

• Nickeil Alexander-Walker ranks 3rd in the league for fast break points (190) this season.
• Dyson Daniels ranks 4th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Kevin Durant is one of only two qualified players in the league to be leading their team in blocks per game (1.0) and free-throw percentage (88.4%) this season.
• Reed Sheppard ranks 16th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Nine different Hawks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
• The Hawks rank 2nd in the league for pace this season (102.3).
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (16.0).
• The Rockets have suffered the largest comeback loss from a HT lead this season – led by 22 points @ Pelicans on December 18.

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

The Rockets have again ruled out Steven Adams, while the Hawks are still missing Kristaps Porzingis and Zaccharie Risacher. The Rockets were starting to heat up before they got stopped in their tracks by the Spurs last night. You could say the same about the Hawks who have come to life with four straight wins after taking down the red-hot Celtics.

It’s tempting to go with the Hawks as the home underdog, but the Rockets have been the more consistent and reliable team this season. I think they will bounce back from last night’s nightmare of a fourth quarter with a better performance here.

Peter Tran's Pick: Houston -3.5