Nov 5, 2025; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) is interviewed following the win against the Miami Heat in the second half at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images
Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 11/7/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Warriors Golden State Nuggets Denver
Team Records 5-4 5-2
Spread +10.5 -115 -10.5 -105
Moneyline +340 -440
Total Over 228.5 (-112) Under 228.5 (-108)
Where Ball Arena, Denver, CO
When Friday, November 7, 2025
Time 10:00 PM EST
TV Prime Video

The Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets meet Friday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview


The Golden State Warriors lost to the Kings, beat the Suns, and they’ll play the Pacers next. The Warriors have won 12 of their last 19 regular season games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 117.4 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 115.3 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 26.8 points and 4.3 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 19 points and 4.5 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 2.9 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 38.9 percent from beyond the arc and 84.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview


The Denver Nuggets beat the Kings and Heat, and they play the Pacers next. The Nuggets have won 8 of their last 10 regular season games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 124.6 points on 50.3 percent shooting and allowing 113.6 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Jamal Murray is averaging 22.7 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.1 points and 13.4 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Christian Braun is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 86 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 31.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last eight night games at Ball Arena.
  • The Warriors have lost each of their last six road games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Friday games as underdogs.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Warriors have won four of their last five games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Nuggets have lost six of their last eight night games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Nuggets’ last six night games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Warriors’ last five road games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

  • Jamal Murray ranks 4th amongst qualified players for FT% (96.4%) this season.
  • Christian Braun ranks 10th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (4.1) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

  • Brandin Podziemski ranks 25th amongst qualified Guards for rebounds per game (4.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank T1st in the league for Q3 points per game this season (32.3).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (100.0%).
  • The Warriors rank 29th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (83.6%).
  • The Warriors are one of two teams to rank in the top-10 for both three-point percentage and free throw percentage this season.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report


The Nuggets don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Warriors are without De’Anthony Melton and Steph Curry. Jimmy Butler is questionable with a back issue.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction


This is a big line, but Denver is one of the toughest places in the league to play, and the Nuggets are playing well. The Warriors will be without Curry, while Jimmy is dealing with a back issue and is questionable. Draymond is expected to play, but he’s dealing with a ribs issue. That’s three of the Warrior’s best players either out or banged up. Again, it’s tough to play the Nuggets when everything is even. The line is what it is for a reason. I have to side with the Nuggets.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver Nuggets -9.5

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