Mets vs Cubs Prediction 4/19/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 19th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 7-14 this season after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 4-12 and 2-4. In game two, New York led 1-0 in the second inning, but didn’t score again until the eighth in the loss. The Mets recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Vientos, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Peralta allowed three hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Raley allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost all three against the Dodgers and all three against the Athletics. 

This season, New York has a 4.22 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 71 runs with a .228 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Bo Bichette has led the Mets with one home run and nine RBIs, while Brett Baty has added zero home runs and seven RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 0-3 with a 6.41 ERA and a 1.83 WHIP over 19.2 innings pitched this season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 11-9 this year after they won game two by a score of 4-2 on Saturday afternoon. Chicago tied the game at one in the second inning and they scored three runs in the sixth for the win. The Cubs recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Kelly, who went 1-1 with one home run and three RBIs. Taillon allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Thielbar picked up the save. Prior to this series, Chicago won two out of three against the Phillies, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that. 

This season, Chicago has a 3.74 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 110 runs with a .252 batting average and a .343 on base percentage. Nico Hoerner has led the Cubs with three home runs and 20 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added four home runs and 12 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Javier Assad, who is 1-1 with an 8.10 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP over 10.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
• The Cubs have won 11 of their last 12 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight games.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Cubs have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have won 10 of their last 12 games against the Cubs following a loss.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 day games at Wrigley Field following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Cubs’ last seven games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Mets’ last seven games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Cubs’ last 10 day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Mets’ last eight games against National League opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Ian Happ has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Ian Happ has recorded a hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine home games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Mets as road underdogs.
• Juan Soto has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances with the Mets as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Mets vs Cubs Prediction 

New York was unable to snap their long losing streak on Saturday and they are in danger of getting swept once again. The Mets are 4-8 on the road this year, while the Cubs are 6-5 at home. Chicago has won four in a row and they have scored 37 runs in those four wins. I don’t love either starter in this matchup and I don’t trust either side to get consistent outs, so I like the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 8.5