Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 2/20/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Friday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Suns and Lakers, and they play the Pacers next. The Mavs have lost 9 straight games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.9 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 117.4 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.4 points and 4.1 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15.1 points and 4.9 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Hawks and Trail Blazers, and they play the 76ers next. The Timberwolves have won 7 of their last 10 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 119.7 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 114.8 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.3 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.3 points and 5.4 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Ayo Dosunmu is grabbing 1 rebound. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last nine games.
• The Timberwolves have won seven of their last eight night games following a home win.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last five games as favorites following a home win.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Mavericks’ last five games at Target Center.
• The Timberwolves have lost each of their last two games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 night games against the Timberwolves following a road loss.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mavericks’ last six games at Target Center following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Ten of the Timberwolves’ last 12 home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Julius Randle is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 12+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.
• Jaden McDaniels ranks 4th amongst qualified players for 3P% (45.4%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.9).
• The Timberwolves rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (74.6%).
• The Mavericks have used 29 different starting fives this season – equal-most in the league.
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for three-point percentage this season (34.2%).

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

The Timberwolves don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Cooper Flagg, and Dereck Lively II. Caleb Martin, Max Christie, and Daniel Gafford are questionable.

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Timberwolves should be huge favorites, as they’re the better team with a clear edge injury-wise. The Mavs are a bad team getting worse when you factor in the production that’s out due to injuries. However, the Timberwolves are a club that plays with their food, and it’s led to a 25-31 ATS record. The Timberwolves are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a double-digit favorite. We’ve seen the Timberwolves outright lose 3 times this season as a double-digit favorite. I don’t like the Timberwolves and big numbers. It’s Mavs or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Dallas Mavericks +12.5