Apr 23, 2026; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Raptors forward RJ Barrett (9) celebrates as Cleveland Cavaliers guard Donovan Mitchell (45) tries to walk away during the second half of game three of the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images
John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors Prediction 4/26/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Cleveland Cavaliers Toronto Raptors
Team Records 52-30 46-36
Spread -3.5 -115 +3.5 -105
Moneyline -170 +142
Total Over 220.5 (-112) Under 220.5 (-108)
Where Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
When Sunday, April 26, 2026
Time 01:00 PM EDT
TV ESPN

The Cleveland Cavaliers and the Toronto Raptors collide in Game 4 at the Scotiabank Arena on Sunday afternoon. Here’s a Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Toronto Raptors Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Toronto Raptors Pick.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview 

The Cleveland Cavaliers were brimming with confidence after winning the first two games of the series rather comfortably, but this series got interesting in Game 3, where the Cavaliers fell well short in a 126-104 road defeat on Thursday. James Harden led the team with 18 points on five of 13 shooting; Evan Mobley and Donovan Mitchell each scored 15 points, while Jarrett Allen chipped in with 12 points and three blocks.

As a team, the Cavaliers shot just 44 percent from the field and 14 of 45 from the 3-point line as they overcame a slow start and were right in the contest midway through the fourth quarter before they allowed the Raptors to close the final 8:31 on a 35-14 run. James Harden had a rough game as he tallied eight turnovers, while Dennis Schroder and Sam Merrill each scored just three points. 

Toronto Raptors Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Toronto Raptors needed to respond after coming up empty in the first two games of the series and they did just that with an impressive 126-104 home win in Game 3 on Thursday. Scottie Barnes led the team with 33 points and 11 assists, and RJ Barrett added 33 points and five assists on 12 of 19 shooting, while Collin Murray-Boyles chipped in with 22 points on 11 of 15 shooting off the bench.

As a team, the Raptors shot 57 percent from the field and 14 of 23 from the 3-point line as they squandered an early lead and it looked like the game was up for grabs midway through the fourth quarter before the Raptors caught fire and scored just 35 points in the final 8:31 to run past the Cavaliers and make it look easy in the end. 

Why the Toronto Raptors will win

  • The Raptors have won each of their last seven Game 4s of a playoff series.
  • The Cavaliers have lost seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the Cavaliers’ last six games.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

  • The Cavaliers have won 14 of their last 15 games following a loss.
  • The Raptors have lost each of their last six games as underdogs following a win.
  • The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in six of the Cavaliers’ last seven games.

Total Points: Facts

  • Each of the Cavaliers’ last four playoff games at Scotiabank Arena has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of the last seven playoff games between the Cavaliers and Raptors at Scotiabank Arena have gone OVER the total points line.

Toronto Raptors Player Facts

  • Ja’Kobe Walter ranks 19th amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.9%) this season.
  • Brandon Ingram ranks 22nd amongst qualified players for points per game (21.5) this season.

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts

  • Evan Mobley ranks 4th amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.7) this season.
  • Donovan Mitchell is one of only four players in the league to have made 7+ threes in consecutive games this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Raptors rank 1st for fast break points per game (18.9) this season.
  • The Raptors rank 2nd in the league for opponent assists per game this season (24.5).
  • The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (62.2%).
  • The Cavaliers are one of only two teams to win 12+ games when trailing after Q3 this season.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors Prediction

The Raptors are still missing Immanuel Quickley and they are keeping an eye on AJ Lawson, who is a game-time decision, while the Cavaliers are coming in with a full squad once again. The Cavaliers will be annoyed with themselves as they missed on a crucial chance to take a commanding 3-0 series lead, but they had a rough night on offense and eventually got punished in the fourth quarter to suffer their first defeat of the series.

The Raptors were good enough to get the much-needed win on Thursday, but they’re going to have to be even better to square up the series, as I don’t see the Cavaliers struggling again in this series like they did in Game 3. I expect the veterans like Harden and Mitchell to bounce back after a quiet game and I think the Cavaliers leave Toronto with a 3-1 series lead.

Peter Tran's Pick: Cleveland -3.5