Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 4/27/25 NBA Picks

Milwaukee Bucks (48-34) vs Indiana Pacers (50-32)

Game Info: Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 9:30 pm (Fiserv Forum)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Bucks -3 -- Over/Under: 226 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: TNT

The Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks meet Sunday in the NBA playoffs Game 4 at the Fiserv Forum. Here’s a Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

The Indiana Pacers have a chance at a win to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. The Pacers have won 17 of their last 22 games. The pacers haven’t lost back-to-back games since March 8-10.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 113.7 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 110 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 25.7 points and 7.7 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 15 points and 6.3 rebounds. Aaron Nesmith is the third double-digit scorer, and Myles Turner is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 84.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 33.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.3 rebounds per game.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

The Milwaukee Bucks look for another home win to even up the series at 2-2. The Bucks have won five straight home games. The home team has won every game in this series. 

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 110 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 113.7 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 35.7 points and 14 rebounds, while Gary Trent Jr. is averaging 18.3 points and 2 rebounds. Bobby Portis is the third double-digit scorer, and Damian Lillard is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 72.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 37.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The home team has won each of the Pacers' last seven Eastern Conference First Round games.
  • The Pacers have lost each of their last four night games at Fiserv Forum.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the Pacers' last six playoff games.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Bucks have lost each of their last seven playoff games against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Pacers have won five of their last six games as road underdogs following a loss.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven playoff games against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last six playoff road games against Central Division opponents following a loss.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

  • Kevin Porter Jr. is one of only two players to have recorded a triple-double off the bench this season.
  • Brook Lopez ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Blocks Per Game (1.9) this season.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

  • T.J. McConnell ranks 6th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (8.9) this season.
  • Aaron Nesmith ranks 10th amongst qualified players for 3P% (43.1%) this season.

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report 

Tyler Smith is questionable for the Milwaukee Bucks with an ankle injury. Smith has played 31 minutes in the month of April and hasn’t played in two weeks.

The Pacers will continue to be without Isaiah Jackson due to a torn Achilles. Bennedict Mathurin is questionable with a abdominal contusion.

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

The home team has won every game in this series and the favorite has covered eight of the last 10 games between the Bucks and Pacers. The Bucks coming back and winning the way they did game 3 should have a carry over effect in game 4. Lillard should be better as he now has two games under his belt. The Pacers could have big blow depending on the status of Mathurin. I had the Bucks winning this series before it started and I’m not off the bandwagon. The line is reasonable. Give me the Bucks and the small chalk.

Randy’s Pick Milwaukee Bucks -3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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