Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 3/16/25 NBA Picks

Milwaukee Bucks (38-28) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (55-12)

Game Info: Sunday, March 16, 2025 at 9:00 pm (Fiserv Forum)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Bucks +4 -- Over/Under: 231.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Milwaukee Bucks meet Sunday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Celtics and Pistons, and then play the 76ers, Hornets, and Clippers next. The Thunder are 18-3 in their last 21 games and are two games behind the Cavs for the best record in the NBA.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 119.7 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 107.2 points on 43.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.8 points and 6.2 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.3 points and 5.5 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 11.1 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 82.5 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Lakers and Pacers, and they play the Warriors, Kings, and Suns next. The Bucks have won 10 of their last 14 games and are fighting for a top-four seed in the East. 

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 114.8 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 112.4 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 30.5 points and 12.1 rebounds, while Damian Lillard is averaging 25.2 points and 4.7 rebounds. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer and Bobby Portis is grabbing 8.3 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Bucks have won each of their last six home games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have lost each of their last five games at Fiserv Forum.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against Bucks teams that held a winning record.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 12 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Bucks have lost eight of their last nine games as home underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Bucks rank 2nd in the league for three-point percentage this season (38.4%).
  • The Bucks have made the playoffs in eight consecutive seasons - the second-longest active streak in the NBA
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.6).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (11.9).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report 

The Milwaukee Bucks don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Thunder will be without Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, and Nikola Topic. Ousmane Dieng and Luguentz Dort are questionable after leaving last night's game.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

You’d think the Bucks would have the advantage at home with both teams on the end of a back-to-back. I considered the points. However, as I’ve said many times in the past, the Thunder are not only racking up the wins, but their 42-22-4 ATS record is the best in the NBA. When a team cashes tickets as much as the Thunder do, you just blindly keep backing them until the money runs dry. The Thunder have won nine of their last 10 games and have covered seven of their last nine games. The Thunder beat the Bucks by 29 points last month. I’ll keep backing OKC as long as the tickets keep cashing. 

Randy’s Pick Oklahoma City Thunder -4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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