Milwaukee Bucks (31-24) vs Miami Heat (26-28)
Game Info: Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 6:00 pm (Fiserv Forum)
Betting Odds: Milwaukee Bucks -5 -- Over/Under: 221 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: FanDuel SN WI
The Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks meet Sunday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Pick.
The Miami Heat got a much-needed win over the Raptors in overtime and now look for two straight wins for the first time this month. Bam Adebayo has elevated his play since the Jimmy Butler saga, as he’s averaging 22.4 points and 11.4 rebounds on 53.8 percent shooting from the field in the month of February. It’s now about getting the rest of the Heat team to come with him. The Heat play the Clippers, Celtics, and Nuggets next.
The Milwaukee Bucks have won three straight games and are inching toward the fourth seed in the East. In six games with the Bucks, Kyle Kuzma is averaging 16.2 points and 8.2 rebounds on 42 percent shooting from the field. Kuzma is coming off a revenge game with a road victory over his former team the Wizards. The Bucks play the Rockets, Nuggets, and Mavs next.
Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds
The Heat are 5-point favorites and have a ML of -190. It is the underdog that’s not only covered five of the last eight games but won outright. The Bucks have won four of the last five games against the Heat.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Bucks have won each of their last seven games at Fiserv Forum against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Heat have lost each of their last six night games following an overtime win.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games following an overtime win.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last five games as home favorites following a win.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Bucks have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The underdogs have won three of the Bucks' last four games at Fiserv Forum.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as favorites following a road win.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in six of the Bucks' last seven games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bucks' last four games as home favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Heat's last seven road games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report
The Heat will be without Kevin Love and Dru Smith.
The Bucks will be without Pat Connaughton due to a calf injury. Bobby Portis is also suspended for the Bucks due to testing positive for Tramadol.
Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
The Bucks are playing decent ball over the last week and are 18-9 SU at home, but there’s something about them I don’t trust. The Bucks are a team that lets you down right once you start to believe. The Bucks have also failed to cover seven of their last 10 games. The Heat are coming off a strong road win in overtime and they’ve always played the Bucks tough. Again, the underdog has won five of the last eight games between the Heat and Bucks, and it’s the Heat that has won five of the last 10 games overall. I’ll take a stab with the Heat and the points in a game that should be tight.
Randy’s Pick Miami Heat +5
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
