Yankees vs Rays Prediction 7/6/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 6th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 49-40 this season after they lost two out of three against the Twins by scores of 5-2, 4-11, and 1-6. In game three, New York allowed the first six runs in the game, but they scored in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Yankees recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Grisham, who went 1-4 with one run. Weathers allowed six hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Bird threw 1.2 innings in relief. Prior to that series, New York lost all three against the Tigers and all four against the Red Sox. 

This season, New York has a 3.39 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 427 runs with a .235 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 24 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 8-5 with a 2.08 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 104.0 innings pitched this season. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 52-35 this year after they lost two out of three against the Astros by scores of 3-1, 8-10, and 0-2. In game three, Tampa Bay allowed a run in the fourth inning and another in the sixth in the shutout loss. The Rays recorded four hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Aranda, who went 1-4. Englert allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Kimbrel threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to that series, Tampa Bay swept the Royals in three games and swept the Diamondbacks in three games. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.75 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 396 runs with a .259 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with 13 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Junior Caminero has added 26 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Griffin Jax, who is 4-5 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 60.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last eight night games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have won each of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven home games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against American League opponents.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last six games between the Yankees and Rays at Tropicana Field.
• The Rays have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Yankees and Rays at Tropicana Field.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Rays’ last six games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last three games as underdogs against the Rays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Rays’ last nine games as favorites.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Yankees’ last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Junior Caminero has hit at least one home run in each of the Rays’ last four games at Tropicana Field.
• Junior Caminero has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 10 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Griffin Jax has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Rays as favorites.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Trent Grisham has hit at least one home run in each of the Yankees’ last two games as road underdogs against the Rays.
• Cam Schlittler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last nine games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Yankees vs Rays Prediction

New York comes into this matchup after another series loss and they have allowed at least six runs in four of their last five games. The Yankees are 26-20 on the road this year, while the Rays are 31-12 at home. Tampa Bay has lost two in a row, but they lead the AL East by four games. The Rays are starting Jax, who has allowed five earned runs in his last 26.0 innings, while Schlittler has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Yankees here, as Schlittler is the better option.

David Racey's Pick: Yankees ML