Yankees vs Phillies Prediction 7/24/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 24th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 57-45 this year after they won two out of three against the Pirates by scores of 8-5, 3-5, and 2-0. In game three, New York pitched a great game and scored two runs in the seventh to get the win. The Yankees recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Dominguez, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Fried allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Blackburn got the win and Hill picked up the save. Prior to that series, New York lost two out of three against the Dodgers, but did sweep the Nationals before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.38 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while they have scored 480 runs with a .236 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 30 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 9-6 with a 2.20 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 123.0 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 56-47 this season after they lost two out of three against the Dodgers by scores of 10-7, 1-2, and 5-9. In game three, Philadelphia tied the game at three in the fifth inning, but they allowed the next six runs for the loss. The Phillies recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Bohm, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Nola allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Mayza allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Philadelphia lost two out of three against the Mets, but did win two out of three against the Tigers before that. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.27 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 448 runs with a .236 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 33 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 21 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 9-4 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 115.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won eight of their last nine night games following a loss.
• The Yankees have lost four of their last five games following a home win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites following a home loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games following a home win.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Friday games as road underdogs.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Friday games as road underdogs.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last three Friday night games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites against the Yankees have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Yankees’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the last eight night games between the Yankees and Phillies.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last four road games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last three home games against AL opponents.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games as home favorites.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances.
• Jesus Luzardo ranks 6th in the league for total Strikeouts (143) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Ben Rice has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Jazz Chisholm ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (27) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
• The Phillies rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
• The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (147).
• The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (147).

Yankees vs Phillies Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games, but they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Yankees are 31-22 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 27-25 at home. Philadelphia has dropped three of their last four games and they have allowed 6+ runs in three of those four. The Phillies are starting Luzardo, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight outings, while Schlittler has allowed 3, 2, 1, 6, and 0 earned runs in his last five starts. Take the under in this contest.

David Racey's Pick: Under 8