Twins vs Yankees Prediction 7/4/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 4th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 42-47 this year after they lost game one by a score of 5-2 on Friday night. Minnesota led 1-0 in the first inning, but only scored one run in the last eight innings for the loss. The Twins recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Clemens, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Paredes allowed four hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Orze allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota won two out of three against the Astros and two out of three against the Rockies.

This season, Minnesota has a 4.83 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 431 runs with a .246 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 25 home runs and 43 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 11 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Zebby Matthews, who is 4-5 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 56.1 innings pitched this year.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 49-38 this season after they won game one by a score of 5-2 last night. New York had their lead cut to 3-2 in the fourth inning, but they scored three times in the seventh to pull away with the win. The Yankees recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Rice, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Cole allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Bednar picked up the save. Prior to this series, New York lost all three against the Tigers and all four against the Red Sox.

This season, New York has a 3.34 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while they have scored 422 runs with a .236 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 24 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 4-2 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 46.1 innings pitched this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last 10 Saturday home games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have lost eight of their last nine games at Yankee Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last eight Saturday day games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games at Yankee Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against the Twins.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 14 games against the Twins.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 home games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last four games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Yankees’ last five day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last three day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Yankees’ last six day games at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous appearances with the Yankees as favorites against the Twins.
• Amed Rosario has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Kody Clemens has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 Saturday appearances with the Twins as underdogs.

Twins vs Yankees Prediction

New York was able to snap their losing streak with a win on Friday night, but they have allowed 5+ runs in four of their last five games. The Yankees are 23-18 at home this year, while the Twins are 20-24 on the road. Minnesota has won three of their last five games and they have scored 4+ runs in three of their last four. The Twins are starting Matthews, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Rodon has allowed three earned runs in three of his last four outings. Take the under here, as both pitchers have been decent in recent starts.

David Racey's Pick: Under 10