Twins vs Tigers Prediction 6/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 11th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 31-38 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 4-10 and 6-4. In game two, Minnesota blew an early 1-0 lead, but they scored three runs in the fifth inning and never looked back in the win. The Twins recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Buxton, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Paredes allowed one hit and one earned run over 3.0 innings, while Rogers got the win and Gomez picked up the save. Prior to this series, Minnesota lost three out of four against the Royals, but did win two out of three against the White Sox before that. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.68 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 318 runs with a .238 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 20 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added seven home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Zebby Matthews, who is 2-3 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 30.1 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 28-40 this season after they lost game two by a score of 6-4 on Wednesday night. Detroit cut the deficit to 4-3 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t find the tying run in the loss. The Tigers recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Carpenter, who went 1-2 with two RBIs. Valdez allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Madden allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Detroit won two out of three against the Mariners and swept the Rays in three games. 

This season, Detroit has a 4.03 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 274 runs with a .234 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 16 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added seven home runs and 31 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Keider Montero, who is 2-4 with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 66.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last five day games against AL Central opponents.
• The home team has won six of the last seven games between the Twins and Tigers.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in three of their last four games against the Twins at Comerica Park following a loss.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Tigers have lost each of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Twins and Tigers.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 16 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against the Tigers following a win.
• The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Twins’ last 10 games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Tigers’ last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of Keider Montero’s last eight home appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of Zebby Matthews’ last seven road appearances as a starter.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in five of the Tigers’ last seven games against the Twins at Comerica Park.
• Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last seven home games against the Twins.
• Riley Greene ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.393) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances at Comerica Park.
• Victor Caratini has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous Thursday appearances against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Byron Buxton ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.566) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tigers rank 25th in the league for runs scored this season (274).
• The Tigers rank 25th in the league for hits this season (528).
• The Twins rank 24th in the league for walks allowed this season (258).
• The Twins rank 24th in the league for hits allowed this season (583).

Twins vs Tigers Prediction 

Minnesota was able to snap their three game losing streak with a win on Wednesday, but they have allowed 20 runs in their last three games. The Twins are 13-20 on the road this year, while the Tigers are 17-16 at home. Detroit has won three of their last five games and they have scored 4+ runs in four of their last five. The Tigers are starting Montero, who has allowed 4, 0, 4, 3, and 4 earned runs in his last five starts, while Matthews has allowed 2, 7, 3, 2, and 0 earned runs in his last five outings. I think the Twins have the better starter, but Detroit has the momentum and I like them to win.

David Racey's Pick: Tigers ML