Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction MLB Picks 8/4/24

Pick details

New York Yankees (65-46) vs Toronto Blue Jays (51-59)

August 4, 2024 at 01:35 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -204 / Toronto Blue Jays +170 — Over/Under: 9.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Toronto Blue Jays recent form and player performance

The New York Yankees recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Toronto Blue Jays

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees

Recent betting trends in games played between the Blue Jays and Yankees

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Blue Jays vs Yankees game

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

Early in the week, the Blue Jays took on the Baltimore Orioles. Toronto was only able to win one of those games, an 8-4 result in the nightcap Monday. After an 8-5 win over the Yankees in their opener, on Saturday the Jays were out-hit 10-8 in an 8-3 loss. Starting pitcher Jose Berrios put up 5.0 innings with five earned runs.

It’ll be Yariel Rodriguez in the starter slot for the Blue Jays on Sunday. This season Rodriguez is 1-4 with a 4.31 ERA in the first 10 starts of his MLB career.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the Yankees’ side, they were able to notch a much-needed sweep over the Philadelphia Phillies in their last set. New York won those games 14-4, 7-6 and 6-5. On Saturday the Yankees were up 6-1 by the end of the fifth inning and cruised from there. As starter for Sunday the Yankees it’ll be Gerrit Cole. So far Cole is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 38 strikeouts total.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Pick Injury Notes

Yankees 1B Anthony Rizzo (forearm) participated in fielding drills Friday and has begun hitting.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Yankees’ last nine day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five games as favorites.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of the Yankees’ last nine games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last seven games against AL opponents.
  • Anthony Volpe has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Anthony Volpe has recorded a Double in four of the Yankees’ last five games at Yankee Stadium against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 16 games at Yankee Stadium against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one total base in each of the Yankees’ last 16 games at Yankee Stadium against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gerrit Cole has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight Sunday appearances in day games at Yankee Stadium.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees’ last five games against AL opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight Sunday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in 11 of the Blue Jays’ last 12 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays’ last 16 games against AL East opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Double in four of the Blue Jays’ last five road games against AL East opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 16 games against AL East opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight road games against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction

I might try the Blue Jays on a value play. Probably not touching it, though. Rodriguez didn’t fare so well in his last outing though, so he’ll need to return to form here. In that one Rodriguez gave up three earned on four walks and a hit in 0.2 innings during a loss. Prior to that he had four earned in 9.2 innings across two outings, though.

On Saturday the Jays didn’t get a whole lot of offense outside of Vladimir Guerrero’s three hits, two runs and solo homer. (Alejandro Kirk had two RBI, though.) The good news is that the bullpen performed well after Berrios left. The bad news is that the bats couldn’t keep up. Toronto should have a decent shot Sunday though, even with Cole on the mound.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +170

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