Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 6/26/24

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Boston Red Sox (43-36) vs Toronto Blue Jays (35-43)

June 26, 2024 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -175 / Toronto Blue Jays +148 — Over/Under: 9.5

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The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox meet Wednesday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Yariel Rodriguez for the start here and Rodriguez is 0-2 with a 5.94 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. This will be Rodriguez’s first career start against the Red Sox. The Boston Red Sox will send out Kutter Crawford for the start here and Crawford is 3-7 with a 3.59 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. In his career, Crawford is 1-1 with a 4.96 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to keep it going and win the series after Tuesday’s 9-4 win over the Red Sox to even the series up at one win apiece. The win for Toronto snapped a 7-game losing streak and gives Toronto the chance for their first series win in three tries after series losses to the Guardians and Red Sox in the last week and a half.

Blue Jays Trying To Build Steam

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with 88 hits including 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 40 RBIs along with a .288 batting average and a .368 OBP. Daulton Varsho’s chipped in a team-high 11 home runs and 35 RBIs in addition to 14 doubles. Davis Schneider has a team-high 15 doubles while George Springer has a team-high 8 stolen bases. Varsho also has a team-high 68 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Red Sox have lost each of their last 10 home games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
  • The underdogs have won eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games at Fenway Park.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games at Fenway Park.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this one looking to bounce back and win their series after their loss in game two of the series on Tuesday. The loss put the Red Sox’s series win streak at risk after knocking off the Reds, Blue Jays and Yankees over the last week and a half.

Red Sox Still Rolling Offensively Despite Loss

Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 96 hits along with 20 stolen bases, 23 doubles, 10 triples and 82 strikeouts and also has 37 RBIs so far this season. Wilyer Abreu has 15 doubles and Ceddanne Rafaela also has 41 RBIs while Rafael Devers has 73 hits with 16 doubles, 16 home runs, 42 RBIs and a .285 batting average this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last 11 games as underdogs following a road win.
  • The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Red Sox following a win.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five games following a home loss.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’m on the over here. Crawford’s been giving up runs left and right this season despite a solid run of form in terms of innings pitched, and the home run is an issue for Crawford as well. On the other side, the Red Sox have been hot over the course of this winning run that they’ve been on, and I think both offenses come to play here and both starters get chased as well. Give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 9.5

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