Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 6/26/24

Cincinnati Reds (37-42) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (38-41)

Game Info: Wednesday, June 26, 2024 at 1:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Graham Ashcraft (4-3) (5.05) vs Luis Ortiz (3-2) (3.45)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds / Pittsburgh Pirates --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 26th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Pirates recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Reds recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pittsburgh
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Pittsburgh and Cincinnati
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Pittsburgh and Cincinnati

Pirates Aiming for Another Series Win 

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 38-41 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Pittsburgh dropped game one in this series, but they won game two by a score of 9-5 on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Rays, won two out of three against the Reds, and won two out of three against the Rockies. Pittsburgh is 5-4 in their last nine games and they are third in the NL Central. 

The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 321 runs with a .228 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .280 with 13 home runs and 46 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. Pittsburgh has allowed at least five runs in three of their last five games. 

Reds Need to Find Better Pitching

The Cincinnati Reds are 37-42 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Cincinnati won game one in this series on Monday by a score of 11-5, but they lost game two on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Red Sox, lost two out of three against the Pirates, and lost two out of three against the Brewers. Cincinnati is just 3-7 in their last ten games and they are fourth in the NL Central. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 337 runs with a .229 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .253 with 14 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has allowed 21 runs in their last three games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Luis Ortiz, who is 3-2 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 47.0 innings pitched this season. Ortiz has allowed seven earned runs in his last five appearances, but six of those came in his last outing against the Rays. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Graham Ashcraft, who is 4-3 with a 5.05 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 62.1 innings pitched this season. Ashcraft is being recalled from the minors, as he allowed at least three earned runs in his last six outings in the majors. 

Why the Cincinnati Reds will beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 

  • The Pirates have lost 10 of their last 11 road games following a road win.
  • The Reds have won three of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last three day games against National League opponents following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Reds' last five day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Pirates' last four day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Pirates' last five day games against National League opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Pirates at Great American Ball Park.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded two or more hits in each of the Reds' last four home games.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds' last four home games.
  • Jonathan India has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds' last five home games.
  • Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds' last four games.
  • TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances against the Pirates at Great American Ball Park.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded a Double in four of the Reds' last five games against the Pirates at Great American Ball Park.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of the Pirates' last 19 games against NL opponents.
  • Bryan Reynolds has scored a run in each of the Pirates' last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Great American Ball Park against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in four of the Pirates' last six games.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Pirates' last six games.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates' last 19 games against NL opponents.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates' last six road games.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 

Cincinnati comes into this game really needing a win, as they have not played well over the last week and a half. The Reds are just 20-22 at home, while the Pirates are 19-21 on the road. Pittsburgh has played decently well in recent games, but Luis Ortiz was awful in his last start. On the other side, I don’t expect much from Ashcraft, as he really struggled before being sent down. I do think we are going to see plenty of runs in this game, but I give the slight edge to Cincinnati at home. My Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds prediction is for the Reds to win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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