Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 6/26/24

Baltimore Orioles (49-30) vs Cleveland Guardians (51-26)

Game Info: Wednesday, June 26, 2024 at 6:35 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Grayson Rodriguez (8-3) (3.82) vs Carlos Carrasco (3-6) (5.40)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -185 / Cleveland Guardians +155 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 26th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Guardians recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Orioles recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Cleveland and Baltimore
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Cleveland and Baltimore

Guardians Trying to Stay Hot 

The Cleveland Guardians are 51-26 this season and they have won seven games in a row. Cleveland has won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 10-8. Prior to this series, the Guardians swept the Blue Jays, won two out of three against the Mariners, and lost two out of three against the Blue Jays. Cleveland is currently leading the AL Central by a comfortable margin over the Twins and Royals. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .228 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 392 runs with a .246 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .279 with 21 home runs and 72 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has scored at least six runs in six of their last seven games. 

Orioles are Ice Cold 

The Baltimore Orioles are 49-30 this year and they have lost five games in a row. Baltimore has dropped the first two games in this series and they have allowed 13 runs in the two games. Prior to this series, the Orioles were swept by the Astros, won two out of three against the Yankees, and won two out of three against the Phillies. Baltimore is 4-8 in their last 12 games, but they are still second in the AL East standings. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.40 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .225 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 413 runs with a .254 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .282 with 25 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore has allowed at least five runs in six of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Carlos Carrasco, who is 3-6 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 65.0 innings pitched this year. Carrasco has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Grayson Rodriguez, who is 8-3 with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 75.1 innings pitched this season. Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but did allow seven earned runs last time out. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will beat the Cleveland Guardians

  • The Orioles have won eight of their last 10 home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Guardians have lost three of their last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a road win.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against the Orioles following a road win.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in five of their last six games as home favorites against the Guardians following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

  • Four of the Orioles' last five night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Guardians' last eight games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last six games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last four night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in nine of the Orioles' last 10 games against the Guardians.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles' last 12 games as home favorites.
  • Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles' last seven night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances.
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in four of the Orioles' last five games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of the Orioles' last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in six of the Orioles' last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians' last seven road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians' last 14 night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians' last 14 night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians' last eight games.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Carlos Carrasco has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 16 Wednesday appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Carlos Carrasco has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against the Orioles.
  • Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in each of the Guardians' last three games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

These two teams are heading in opposite directions coming into this game, as Cleveland is looking for their eighth straight win. The Guardians are 25-17 on the road this season, but they are starting Carrasco, who has a 5.40 ERA. Baltimore is one win away from reaching 50 wins, but they have lost five games in a row and their pitching staff is struggling. The Orioles are going with Grayson Rodriguez, who has been mostly solid, but did not pitch well against Houston last weekend. I keep waiting for Baltimore to turn things around, but that has burned me in the first two games of this series. I really don’t like Carrasco and even though Rodriguez struggled in his last start, I will take him over Carrasco every time. My Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for the Orioles to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Orioles -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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