Apr 11, 2026; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27) hits a single against the Minnesota Twins during the ninth inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images
Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images

Toronto Blue Jays vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 4/17/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Toronto Blue Jays Arizona Diamondbacks
Team Records 7-12 12-8
Where Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
When Friday, April 17, 2026
Time 09:40 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Friday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Eric Lauer for the start here and Lauer is 1-2 with a 7.82 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Diamondbacks, Lauer is 2-2 with a 1.91 ERA and 37 strikeouts. Michael Soroka will start here for the Diamondbacks and is 3-0 with a 2.87 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. In his career, Soroka is 1-2 with a 5.66 ERA and 12 strikeouts against Toronto.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to shake off a 2-1 loss at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers last time out to sit at 7-11 this season. After this series, the Blue Jays will head on the road for a series against the Los Angeles Angels.

Blue Jays Drop 7 Of Last 10

Andres Gimenez has 19 hits with 2 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 11 RBIs while Ernie Clement has 21 hits with 5 doubles and 5 RBIs. Kazuma Okamoto has 13 hits with a double, 2 home runs, 4 RBIs and a team-high 24 strikeouts while George Springer also has 4 doubles, 2 homers with 6 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 21 hits with 4 doubles, a home run and 7 RBIs as well. Jesus Sanchez also has 14 hits with 3 doubles, 2 home runs and 10 RBIs.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to build on their 8-5 win over Baltimore last time out to sit at 11-8 this season. After this series, Arizona will take on the Chicago White Sox in a series at home.

Diamondbacks Win Back-To-Back Games

Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with 19 hits including 6 doubles, 3 triples, 2 home runs and a team-high 11 RBIs while Alek Thomas has logged 5 doubles with 6 RBIs as well this season. Ketel Marte has 15 hits with 2 doubles, 4 home runs and 9 RBIs and Geraldo Perdomo has 12 hits, with 2 doubles, a home run and 4 RBIs as well this season. Gabriel Moreno also has 11 hits with 5 doubles and Jose Fernandez has 2 home runs and 8 RBIs this season. Ildemaro Vargas also has 18 hits with 5 doubles, a triple, 2 home runs and 8 RBIs.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: April 17, 2026

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Soroka      Record this season: 3-0      ERA: 2.87
  • Home Record: 2-0
  • Last 5 against Blue Jays: 1-2

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost nine of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
  • The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents following an extra innings win.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Eric Lauer      Record this season: 1-2      ERA: 7.82
  • Road Record: 0-1
  • Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 2-2

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The underdogs have won four of the Blue Jays’ last five games.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last nine road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road night games.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Diamondbacks have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last four games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games against NL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games against AL East opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Michael Soroka has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances.
  • Michael Soroka has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances in night games.
  • Michael Soroka ranks T3rd in the league for Wins (3) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four road games against NL West opponents.
  • Eric Lauer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.436) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (42).
  • The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (6).
  • The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (125).
  • The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (194).

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’m on the Diamondbacks in this one. I just don’t trust the Blue Jays offensively right now as the offense stalled in a big way in the Brewers series and I think the Blue Jays are a team that we have to put on the back burner until they wake up. Arizona has been finding ways to win in every series so far and I think they get it done here as well. Give me Arizona in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Arizona -130

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