Jul 23, 2025; Seattle, Washington, USA;  Seattle Mariners starter Luis Castillo (58) delivers a pitch during the third inning Milwaukee Brewers at T-Mobile Park. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Brashear-Imagn Images

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 08/02/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

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Texas (57-54) vs Seattle (59-52)

August 2, 2025 at 04:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle +1.5 — Over/Under: +7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 2, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers (57-54, 23-34 Away) have swept the Athletics and Atlanta Braves, but then lost a series against the Los Angeles Angels. Following a 6-0 loss to the Mariners in the opening game of the current series, the Rangers fell short 4-3 in Game 2 on Friday. Jack Leiter pitched for 4.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on three hits with seven strikeouts and three walks. Robert Garcia took the loss.

This season, the Rangers average 4.10 runs per game (23rd in the MLB) on a .231/.300/.376 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rangers’ staff has a 3.25 ERA (1st) and 1.17 WHIP (1st). Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with a .225 batting average, 15 home runs, and 62 RBI this season.

Merrill Kelly will take the mound for the Rangers on Saturday. The 36-year-old right-hander has a 9-6 record in 22 starts this year with a 3.22 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 128.2 innings. This will be his first start for the Rangers after a deadline day trade from the Diamondbacks.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners (59-52, 30-24 Home) are winless in the previous three series, losing to the Brewers, splitting with the Angels, and losing to the Athletics. The M’s will not lose this series against the Rangers thanks to a couple of wins to open it, so they will at least get a split. In last night’s 4-3 victory, Seattle came from behind and scored two runs in the 9th to beat Texas. J.P. Crawford hit a two-run homer to give his team a W, while Logan Gilbert pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on five hits with seven strikeouts and no walks. Eduardo Bazardo was credited with the win.

This year, the Mariners average 4.52 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .245/.320/.410 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.84 ERA (12th) and 1.25 WHIP (10th). Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with a .257 batting average, 42 home runs, and 88 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Mariners is Luis Castillo, who is 8-6 in 22 starts this season, with a 3.19 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 127.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mariners’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Rangers’ last five day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last 10 games at T-Mobile Park.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Rangers’ last seven day games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mariners rank 4th in the league for steals this season (107).
  • The Mariners rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (983).
  • The Rangers rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.227).
  • The Rangers rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (828).

Rangers vs Mariners Prediction

The Mariners won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last three. Three of the past four duels went Under, and considering the pitching matchup in this one, I am going with another Under. Merrill Kelly, who recently joined in a trade with the Diamondbacks, had a powerful July, posting a 2.35 ERA in 30.2 innings. He hasn’t allowed more than two runs in his last four starts. Luis Castillo, on the other hand, faced the Rangers two times this season and registered a 1.50 ERA in 12.0 innings. Ccastillo was even better than Kelly in July, posting a 2.05 ERA. With such two pitchers starting on the mound, I have no other choice than to bet on Under.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Under 7.5

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