Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction 07/30/2025 MLB Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees meet Wednesday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 54-54 on the year and play the Dodgers, Angels, and Mariners next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .255 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .402 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 114 hits and 62 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 211 hits and 121 RBI. 

Zack Littell gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 8-8 with a 3.72 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. Littell is 3-1 with a 4.81 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 58-49 on the year and play the Marlins, Rangers, and Astros next. The New York Yankees are batting .252 on the season, have a .331 OBP, and a .451 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 129 hits and 85 RBI while Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt have combined for 210 hits and 99 RBI.

Will Warren gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 6-5 with a 4.82 ERA and 124 strikeouts this season. Warren is 0-1 with a 5.68 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last eight Wednesday night games against the Rays.
• The Rays have lost eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight games against the Rays.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against the Yankees following a road loss.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in 16 of their last 17 games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against the Rays following a win.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Volpe has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four night games.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against AL opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Taylor Walls has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Rays as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in four of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction

I’m not running to the window to back either the Rays or Yankees, two struggling teams in the second half. I’m looking at the over. Littell has allowed 23 hits and 10 runs in his last 17.2 innings. Warren has allowed 30 hits and 17 runs in his last 24.1 innings. Warren has walked 15 batters in those frames. The Rays are due for an offensive breakthrough, and we know what the Yankees are capable of when right. I expect some fireworks in this contest. Give me the over.