Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction 5/18/25 MLB Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays and Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 21-24 on the year and play the Astros, Blue Jays, and Twins next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .245 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and a .368 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Jonathan Aranda leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 43 hits and 21 RBI, while Yandy Diaz and Junior Caminero have combined for 80 hits and 43 RBI. 

Shane Baz gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 3-2 with a 5.02 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. This will be Baz’s second career game against the Miami Marlins.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 17-27 on the year and play the Cubs, Angels, and Padres next. The Miami Marlins are batting .246 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and a .381 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 5.44 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP. Kyle Stowers leads the Miami Marlins with 45 hits and 30 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Eric Wagaman have combined for 80 hits and 23 RBI.

Cal Quantrill gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 2-4 with a 7.00 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Quantrill is 1-0 with a 2.31 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against NL East opponents following a win.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last 15 Sunday games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have lost 12 of their last 13 games against the Rays at LoanDepot Park following a loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight Sunday day road games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last three day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Cal Quantrill has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against AL opponents.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his six previous home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in each of his six previous home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Josh Lowe has hit at least one home run in five of his last 15 appearances with the Rays as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Josh Lowe has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Rays’ last six games against NL East opponents.
• Danny Jansen has scored a run in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jonathan Aranda ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.321) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Rays have had issues stringing wins together lately, and I don’t like this pitching matchup at all. It’s why I’m looking at the over. Baz has a 5.02 ERA and 1.33 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 21 hits and 16 runs in his last 13.2 innings. Quantrill has a 7.00 ERA and 1.64 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowing a .322 batting average through 36 innings. In 14 home innings, Quantrill is allowing a 6.43 ERA and a .352 allowed batting average. Both lineups should like their chances to score runs. Expect some fireworks. Give me the over.