Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Prediction 08/01/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 1^st at the T-Mobile Park in the second game of this series, with the Mariners having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 58-50 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL West. The Mariners have a 30-26 road record and are 58-45 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-0 home victory over the Rangers, which snapped their previous two-game losing streak. Under is 7-2 in their last 9 games and they are playing the White Sox and the Rays next.

The Mariners have a .245 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .410 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Marinersin hits with 114, while JP Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .265 batting average. Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 88, and in home runs with 42.

Logan Gilbert (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 3-4 record, 3.36 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 56-53 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 22-33 road record and are 44-62 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-6 road defeat by the Mariners and have three consecutive losses. Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games and are playing the Phillies and the Yankees next.

The Rangers have a .232 batting average this season, .300 OBP and .377 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.24 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 93 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .270 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 62, while Corey Seager leads the team in home runs with 15.

Jack Leiter (R) is the projected starter for the Rangers, and he has a 7-6 record, 4.09 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Rangers have lost each of their last 10 Friday games at T-Mobile Park.
• The Mariners have won each of their last seven home games against the Rangers.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Rangers following a home win.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games at T-Mobile Park.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games at T-Mobile Park against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at T-Mobile Park.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Mariners have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a win.
• The Rangers have won five of their last six games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games following a home win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last seven Friday games.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Mariners’ last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Twelve of the Rangers’ last 14 night games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last nine home games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Rangers’ last 11 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (149).
• The Mariners rank 29th in the league for triples this season (6).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.24).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.227).

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Mariners are 8-2 in their last 10 overall meetings against the Rangers, and have won their last four meetings in Seattle. Over is 6-4 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -170 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records, but he Mariners have been above average at home, while the Rangers have been terrible on the road. Gilbert for the Mariners is the superior pitching option in this matchup, and he has been excellent at home, with a 1.94 ERA, while Leiter for the Rangers has been weaker on the road with a 4.65 road ERA. The Mariners also have a better offense and are better against righties, so I expect them to get the job done once again at home tonight.