Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 07/21/2025 Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers are visiting the Seattle Mariners on Monday, July 21^st at the T-Mobile Park in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. We will examine:

The Seattle Mariners’ recent form and player performance
The Milwaukee Brewers’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners game

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 53-46 record this season and are sitting in second place in the AL West. The Mariners have a 27-22 home record and are 56-38 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-11 home defeat to the Astros, which ended their previous five-game winning streak. Over is 8-0 in their last 8 games, and they are playing the Athletics and the Angels next.

The Mariners have a .249 batting average this season, a .326 OBP, and a .415 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. J.P. Crawford leads the Mariners in hits with 103, and is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average. Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 83 and in home runs with 38.

George Kirby (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 4-4 record, 4.50 ERA, and 1.15 WHIP.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers have a 59-40 record this season and are sitting in second place in the NL Central. They have a 26-23 road record and are 42-54 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-5 road victory over the Dodgers and have ten consecutive wins. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 games, and they are playing the Marlins and the Cubs next.

The Brewers have a .250 batting average this season, a .325 OBP, and a .385 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Jackson Churio leads the Brewers with 110 hits, while Christian Yelich leads the team in RBI, with 65, adding a team-high 19 home runs. Sal Frelick is the team’s best hitter with a .294 batting average.

Brandon Woodruff (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 1-0 record, 2.61 ERA, and 0.68 WHIP.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

The Mariners have won each of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
The Brewers have lost each of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at T-Mobile Park.
The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last three night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

The Brewers have won each of their last 10 games as underdogs following a win.
The Mariners have lost six of their last nine games as favorites following a home loss.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 14 games as underdogs.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
The Mariners have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games.
The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Mariners’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Brewers’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last seven games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mariners’ last eight night games.

Matchup/League Facts

The Mariners rank 28th in the league for triples this season (5).
The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (115).
The Brewers rank T27th in the league for doubles this season (141).

Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Brewers are 6-1 in their 7 meetings against the Mariners, and have won their last four meetings in Seattle. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.  
 
In this Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -125 home favorites. The wrong team is favored in this spot, as the Brewers have a better record than the Mariners, while both teams have similar home/away splits. Both pitchers have been good, but we have two red-hot offenses facing each other today. Both teams are better against right-handed pitching, averaging 9.9 runs per game, and both are 13-1 to the over in their last 14 games combined. Milwaukee has scored 6+ runs in five of their last six games, while Seattle is averaging 8.5 runs in their last 6 games. With the over/under line set at just 7 runs, I will gladly go over this number.