Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 6/11/25 MLB Picks

The Seattle Mariners are visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday, June 11th at the Chase Field in the third game of this series, with the Diamondbacks having a 2-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. We will examine:

The Arizona Diamondbacks’ recent form and player performance

The Seattle Mariners’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners

Recent betting trends in games played between the Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks game

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 33-34 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 17-17 home record and are 31-31 in over/under. They are coming off a 10-3 home victory over the Mariners and have back-to-back wins. Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games, and they are playing the Padres and the Blue Jays next.

The Diamondbacks have a .254 batting average this season, a .333 OBP, and a .449 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.82 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Josh Naylor leads the Diamondbacks with 74 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .294 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI, with 48, while Corbin Carroll adds a team-high 19 home runs.

Eduardo Rodriguez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 1-3 record, 6.70 ERA, and 1.65 WHIP. He has a 6.43 ERA across four home starts, and he has been terrible lately, having given up 3+ runs in five of his last six starts. He has a 6.00 ERA in his last three starts against the Mariners.

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 33-33 record this season and are sitting in second place in the AL West. The Mariners have a 17-16 road record and 35-27 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-10 road defeat by the Dbacks, and are 1-7 in their last 8 games. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games, and they are playing the Red Sox and the Guardians next.

The Mariners have a .241 batting average this season, a .321 OBP, and a .395 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 68, while Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 53 and in home runs with 26. J.P. Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average.

Bryan Woo (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 5-3 record, 3.07 ERA, and 0.96 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road with a 3.45 ERA across seven road starts, and he has been struggling lately, having lost his last three starts, and has 7 earned runs in 12.2 innings of work in his last two starts. In his only previous start against the Dbacks in his career back in 2023, he gave up 3 runs in 5 innings of work.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last six home games against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have lost five of their last six games as road favorites.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six home games against AL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against AL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in three of their last four games against AL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against American League opponents.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Mariners have won each of their last six Wednesday road games.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games following a home win.
• The favorites have covered the run line in six of the Mariners’ last seven games at Chase Field.
• The Mariners have won the first inning in each of their last three games as road favorites against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as road favorites against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last five games as underdogs against the Mariners have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last 10 day games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Diamondbacks’ last nine games as underdogs against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (125).
• The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (96).
• The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (82).
• The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.

Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

The Dbacks have won their last three meetings against the Mariners, and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Arizona. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.   

In this Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -115 road favorites. Both teams have almost identical records and exactly the same home/away wins. The Mariners have the pitching advantage in this game, as Woo has been very good this season, despite his recent struggles. The Dbacks have the 4th-worst bullpen in the league, and Rodriguez has been terrible lately. This sets up for a perfect bounce-back spot for the road team, so take the Seattle Mariners on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Seattle Mariners ML