Pick details
| MATCHUP | San Diego Padres | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 67-58 | 56-69 |
| Spread | -1.5 164 | +1.5 -200 |
| Moneyline | +100 | -120 |
| Total | Over 8 (-115) | Under 8 (-105) |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Monday, August 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres enter Monday’s contest with a 67–58 overall record (2nd in the National League West) and a 30-32 mark on the road. The Padres offense has been rather inconsistent this season. San Diego has compiled 535 runs scored (17th in MLB), 183 doubles, 140 home runs and a .238 team batting average which ranks a rather low 23rd in Major League Baseball.San Diego arrives at today’s game in good form. San Diego has won seven of the team’s last eight games played this season, including a 7–5 victory over the Cleveland Guardians earlier this week.
San Diego will turn to right hander Walker Buehler in this game. In 24 starts made this season, Buehler has amassed a 7-5 win-loss record, a 4.88 ERA, a 1.43 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 114.1 innings pitched. Walker Buehler arrives at this contest in good form, allowing two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts made in 2026. Buehler will look to continue his recent strong performances on the mound in tomorrow’s matchup with the New York Mets.
The San Diego Padres lineup features Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado. Fernando Tatis Jr. has compiled a .280 batting average, 13 home runs, 56 RBIs and an .777 OPS. Manny Machado has tallied 23 home runs, 20 doubles, 56 walks, 70 RBIs and a .703 OPS.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets enter Monday night’s matchup with a 56–69 overall record (5th in the National League East) and a 28–34 mark at home. New York arrives at this contest, winning five of the team’s last seven games, including a 4–1 victory over the Washington Nationals two days ago.The Mets will start right hander Nolan McLean in tomorrow’s game. In 24 starts made in 2026, McLean has compiled an 8-8 record, a 3.42 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP (24th in MLB) and 159 strikeouts which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Nolan McLean has pitched at a high level recently, allowing two earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts made this season.
The New York Mets lineup features Bo Bichette and Carson Benge. Bo Bichette enters this contest with a .266 batting average, 12 home runs, 62 RBIs and a .700 OPS. Carson Benge has compiled a .272 batting average and 14 home runs.
Why the San Diego Padres will win.
• Offensive firepower. Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado continue to anchor the San Diego Padres lineup.• Starting pitching. Walker Buehler has amassed a 7-5 win-loss record, a 4.88 ERA, a 1.43 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 114.1 innings pitched.
• Current form. The San Diego Padres have won seven of the team’s last eight games.
Why the New York Mets will win.
• Pitching stability. Nolan McLean has compiled an 8-8 record, a 3.42 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP (24th in MLB) and 159 strikeouts which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball.• Recent form. The New York Mets have won five of the team’s last six games.
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Prediction
In my view, the way to go in this matchup is the total rather than a side. Why? San Diego starting pitcher Walker Buehler arrives at this contest in good form, allowing two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts made in 2026. Similarly, New York hurler Nolan McLean has pitched at a high level recently, allowing two earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts made this season. I envision both starting pitchers limiting offensive production in this contest. For the reasons just noted, I am backing under 9.5 runs in this game.Hans Geevers's Pick: Under 9.5
