San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 8/9/24

The San Diego Padres and the Miami Marlins meet Friday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Padres vs Marlins pick. We will examine:

The San Diego Padres recent form and player performance

The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego Padres

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins

Recent betting trends in games played between the Padres and Marlins

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Padres vs Marlins game

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

This week the Padres played the Pittsburgh Pirates. San Diego won the first two games of that set 6-0 and 9-8, then in the finale the Padres eked out a comeback win 7-6. Starter Randy Vasquez put up 5.2 innings with three earned runs.

In the starter slot for Friday’s matchup the Padres are sending out Martin Perez. So far Perez is 2-5 with a 4.96 ERA in 17 starts. In his career Perez is 87-86 with a 4.47 ERA in 305 games (260 starts).

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Over on the Marlins’ side, they’re coming off a series versus the Cincinnati Reds. Miami lost two of the first three games (winning 6-4 Wednesday). In the finale the Marlins gave up seven runs in the 10th inning during a wild 10-4 loss. Starting pitcher Kyle Tyler logged 4.1 innings with three earned runs.

As starting pitcher for Friday the Marlins will go with Edward Cabrera. This year Cabrera is 2-3 with a 5.96 ERA in 11 starts. Over 54 career games (52 starts) Cabrera is 15-17 with a 4.39 ERA.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last eight games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Padres’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Padres and Marlins at LoanDepot Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last three games as road favorites against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Edward Cabrera has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his six previous home appearances against NL West opponents.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one Single in six of the Marlins’ last seven games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Jake Burger has scored at least one run in five of his six previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL West opponents.
• Jake Burger has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jake Burger has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins’ last seven night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Manny Machado has recorded a Double in each of the Padres’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one Single in 15 of his last 16 appearances with the Padres as favorites against the Marlins.
• Xander Bogaerts has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Padres’ last seven games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• David Peralta has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 road appearances after playing the previous day.

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Prediction

I’ll probably lean toward the Padres. Perez had a pretty rough outing last month versus Philly, posting six earned over 3.2 innings in a no-decision. Since then however, Perez is 1-0 with just one earned run in 12.0 innings. He should do pretty well here.

On Thursday the Padres blew an early 4-0 lead but eventually recovered with a big ninth inning (three runs). The bullpen was pretty choppy overall, though. That group provided 3.1 innings with six hits, three earned and two walks. Perez will need to start things out well for San Diego on Friday.