Pick details
| MATCHUP | San Diego Padres | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 88-70 | 97-61 |
| Spread | +1.5 -149 | -1.5 124 |
| Moneyline | +142 | -173 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-109) | Under 7.5 (-110) |
| Where | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California | |
| When | Thursday, September 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 88-70 on the year and play the Diamondbacks next. The San Diego Padres are batting .243 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and have a .398 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 173 hits and 81 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Ty France have combined for 278 hits and 156 RBI.
Nick Pivetta gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 3-2 with a 3.30 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. Pivetta is 1-2 with a 3.62 ERA and 47 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 97-61 this year and play the Giants next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .257 on the season, with a .339 OBP and a .426 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 165 hits and 70 RBI, while Andy Pages and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 273 hits and 160 RBI.
Tyler Glasnow gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 5-1 with a 3.46 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season. Glasnow is 0-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 38 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last seven games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium following a road win.
- The Dodgers have won 11 of their last 12 games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL West opponents following a road win.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in five of their last six home games.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 Thursday games as road underdogs.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Dodgers have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against NL opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in 14 of their last 16 games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against NL West opponents following a home loss.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last five games between the Padres and Dodgers at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Padres’ last seven games as underdogs against the Dodgers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last five games against NL opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last four games between the Padres and Dodgers at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Will Smith has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last five games.
- Tyler Glasnow has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL opponents.
- Tyler Glasnow has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL West opponents.
- Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 14 games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Nick Pivetta has recorded five or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 16 road appearances.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 17 Thursday night games as underdogs.
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three games against the Dodgers.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1136).
- The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.258).
- The Padres rank 8th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1272).
- The Padres rank 9th in the league for runs allowed this season (657).
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
The Padres are worth a look at the plus money given they’ve been on a heater for a month or so. Pivetta is also a guy with above-average stuff. However, the Padres have a long history of falling on their face in games that matter, and Pivetta has just 30 innings under his belt this season. The Dodgers are still fighting for the top seed in baseball, and Glasnow has a 3.46 ERA and 0.96 WHIP through 67.2 innings. I’m rolling with the Dodgers and will lay the RL to shave down the price.


