San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 7/2/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Thursday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send out Randy Vasquez here and Vasquez is 6-6 with a 4.44 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. Roki Sasaki will start for the Dodgers here and is 3-5 with a 4.88 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to shake off their 23-3 loss at the hands of the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday to sit at 43-42 this season. After this series, the Padres will head home for a series against Arizona.

Padres Drop 5th Straight

Jackson Merrill has 67 hits with 15 doubles, 8 home runs and 31 RBIs while Ramon Laureano has 37 hits with 6 doubles, 2 triples, 7 home runs and 21 RBIs as well on the year. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 92 hits with 15 doubles and 33 RBIs and Xander Bogaerts has 65 hits with 5 doubles, 8 home runs and 32 RBIs. Manny Machado also has 58 hits with 16 doubles, 16 home runs and 46 RBIs as well on the year.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be out to bounce back from their 7-1 loss at the hands of the Athletics last time out to sit at 56-31 this season. After this series, the Dodgers will take on the Colorado Rockies in a series at home.

Dodgers Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Andy Pages has 91 hits with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 60 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 52 hits with 8 doubles, 7 home runs and 32 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 88 hits with 15 doubles, 18 home runs and 50 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 93 hits with 22 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 47 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 6 home runs and 23 RBIs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 70 hits with 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 37 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 70 hits with 16 doubles, 7 home runs and 44 RBIs this season.

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: July 2, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Roki Sasaki      Record this season: 3-5      ERA: 4.88
• Home Record: 1-2
• Last 5 against Padres: 0-1

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last 10 games following a road loss.
• The Padres have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Thursday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home games against NL West opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Randy Vasquez      Record this season: 6-6      ERA: 4.44
• Road Record: 3-2
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 0-3

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Dodgers have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have won each of their last six Thursday games against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Dodgers’ last nine games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Dodgers’ last five night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Padres’ last four night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 14 of the Padres’ last 15 night games against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Dodgers’ last seven games as favorites against National League opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Max Muncy has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Roki Sasaki has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances.
• Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.406) this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Xander Bogaerts has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two road games against NL West opponents.
• Samad Taylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T7th in the league in Steals (19) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.265).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.442).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (333).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (624).

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the over in this game. I think the Dodgers’ bats can get to Vasquez here who has been due for some regression for some time now, while I think the Padres can hit Roki Sasaki, who has been one of the most inconsistent options in the Dodger rotation. I think this is going to be a high-scoring affair, so give me the over in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 9