In this article we will formulate a Royals vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 6th at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 42-48 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 9-3 and 1-7. In their game two loss, Kansas City cut the deficit to 4-1 in the sixth inning, but that was the only run they could find in the loss. The Royals recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Witt, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the loss. Kansas City started Wacha, who allowed four hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Long allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Royals split four games with the Mariners and lost two out of three against the Dodgers. Kansas City has won three of their last five games and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 300 runs with a .243 batting average and a .298 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 14 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 11 home runs and 48 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Lorenzen, who is 4-8 with a 4.95 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 92.2 innings pitched this season. 

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 44-45 this year after they won game two by a score of 7-1 on Saturday afternoon. Arizona jumped out to an early lead in this game and they added three insurance run in the later innings. The Diamondbacks recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Gurriel and Grichuk, who both had two RBIs in the win. Arizona started Nelson, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Ginkel and Miller secured the win. 

Prior to this series, the Diamondbacks split four games with the Giants and lost all three against the Marlins. Arizona has lost three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the NL West standings. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 461 runs with a .253 batting average and a .329 on base percentage this year. Eugenio Suarez has led Arizona with 28 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll has added 20 home runs and 44 RBIs this season. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Anthony DeSclafani, who is 0-0 with a 4.82 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 9.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Royals
The Diamondbacks have won five of their last six day games against American League opponents.
The Royals have lost five of their last six day games after playing the previous day.
The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against American League opponents.
The Royals have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Royals will beat the Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have lost six of their last eight games as home favorites.
The Royals have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games following a win.
The Royals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Royals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts
Seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Royals’ last five day games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Royals’ last five day games against National League opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
James McCann has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Randal Grichuk has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
Vinnie Pasquantino has hit at least one home run in two of the Royals’ last three games against opponents that held a losing record.
Michael Lorenzen has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Royals as underdogs.
Michael Massey has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction 
Arizona snapped their small losing streak with a win on Saturday in game two of this series, but they are under .500 and they are way behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 23-24 at home this year, while the Royals are 22-24 on the road. KC has one of the lowest scoring lineups in the MLB and they are facing DeSclafani, who has pitched well in relief this year. Kansas City is starting Lorenzen, who has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. I don’t love either starter in this matchup and we know the Arizona bullpen is pretty bad, so I like the over here. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 9.5