Reds vs Cubs Prediction 5/30/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 30th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 28-29 this year after they won two out of three against Kansas City by scores of 7-4, 7-2, and 2-3. In their game three loss, Cincinnati cut the deficit to 2-1 and 3-2, but couldn’t find the tying run in the loss. The Reds recorded nine hits in the game, and they were led by Steer, who went 3-4 with two RBIs in the loss. Cincinnati started Greene, who allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Mey allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Cubs and two out of three against the Pirates. Cincinnati has won three of its last five games, and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 264 runs with a .248 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 11 home runs and 40 RBIs, while Austin Hays has added six home runs and 25 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 4-0 with a 1.77 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 40.2 innings pitched this year. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 35-21 this season after they swept the Rockies in three games by scores of 3-1, 4-3, and 2-1. In their game three win, Chicago scored the first two runs in the game, but they failed to score over the last four innings in the win. The Cubs recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Suzuki and Crow-Armstrong, who both had one RBI in the win. Chicago started Boyd, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Palencia picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Cubs won two out of three against the Reds and two out of three against the Marlins. Chicago has won 10 of their last 12 games, and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 330 runs with a .262 batting average and a .335 on-base percentage this season. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led Chicago with 15 home runs and 50 RBIs, while Seiya Suzuki has added 14 home runs and 51 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Colin Rea, who is 3-1 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 46.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Reds will beat the Cubs 

• The Cubs have lost 10 of their last 13 day games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Reds have won three of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 Friday games at Wrigley Field.
• The Cubs have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games against NL Central opponents.
• The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Twelve of the Reds’ last 14 road games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Cubs’ last three games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six day games at Wrigley Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six games between the Reds and Cubs at Wrigley Field.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in two of the Cubs’ last three games against the Reds.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Cubs’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Seiya Suzuki has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances against the Reds.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded a Double in five of the Cubs’ last six games against NL opponents.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 10 games against NL opponents.
• Carson Kelly has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• TJ Friedl has recorded two or more hits in each of the Reds’ last six games.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in two of the Reds’ last three road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Will Benson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.

Reds vs Cubs Prediction

Chicago comes into this matchup looking for their fifth win in a row, and it continues to hold a multi-game lead in the NL Central. The Cubs are 18-10 at home this year, while the Reds are 14-15 on the road. Cincinnati is coming off a series win over Kansas City, but they have been very inconsistent this season. The Reds are starting Abbott, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight outings. The Cubs are going with Rea, who has allowed four earned runs or more in two of his last four, including six earned runs against Cincinnati last time out. Abbott has been very good this season, so I will take the Reds with the plus money.