Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 5/30/25 MLB Picks

The Detroit Tigers are visiting the Kansas City Royals on Friday, May 30th at the Kauffman Stadium in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction. We will examine:

The Kansas City Royals’ recent form and player performance

The Detroit Tigers’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Tigers

Recent betting trends in games played between the Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals game

Kansas City Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals have a 30-27 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the AL Central. The Royals have an 18-11 home record and are 20-36 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 home victory over the Reds, ending their previous two-game losing streak. They are playing the Cardinals and the White Sox next.

The Royals have a .246 batting average this season, a .301 OBP, and a .361 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.15 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr leads the Royals with 64 hits, adding a team-high 30 RBI. Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team in home runs, with 8, while Maikel Garcia is the team’s best hitter with a .312 batting average.

Seth Lugo (R) will take the mound for the Royals, and he has a 3-4 record, 3.02 ERA, and 1.09 WHIP. He has been better at home, with a 2.41 ERA, and he is coming off a start where he gave up 3 runs in 6 innings of work. In his previous start against the Tigers this season, he gave up 3 runs in 6.2 innings of work. Seth Lugo is 3-1 with an ERA of 2.78 and 28 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Tigers in his career.

Detroit Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers have a 37-20 record this season and are sitting in first place in the AL Central. The Tigers have a 16-12 road record and are 26-26 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-3 home victory against the Giants and have four consecutive wins. Under is 7-1 in their last 8 games, and are playing the White Sox and the Cubs next.

The Tigers have a .252 batting average this season, a .325 OBP, and a .408 slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.22 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 58 hits, while Spencer Torkelson leads the team in RBI, with 40, and in home runs with 13. Gleyber Torres is the team’s best hitter with a .285 batting average.

Casey Mize (R) will take the mound for the Tigers, and he has a 6-1 record, 2.45 ERA, and 1.01 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road with a 3.33 ERA across four home starts, and he has given up just one run in four of his last five starts. In his previous start against the Royals this season, he gave up one run in 7 innings of work. Casey Mize is 3-2 with an ERA of 4.80 and 35 strikeouts in 11 appearances versus the Royals in his career.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Royals’ last eight games at Kauffman Stadium.
• The Tigers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Royals’ last nine games at Kauffman Stadium.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight night games against the Tigers at Kauffman Stadium.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Royals have lost each of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have won each of their last 12 games as road favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Royals.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Sixteen of the Royals’ last 17 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Tigers’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last nine night games at Kauffman Stadium.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Tigers’ last nine games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Royals rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (33).
• The Royals rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (398).
• The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (20).
• The Tigers rank 4th in the league for runs scored this season (288).

Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

The Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Royals, having won their last three visits in Kansas City. Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, the Tigers are coming as -120 road favorites. The Tigers are rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season and are coming into this matchup in better form. Both starting pitchers have been sharp so far this season, with a combined 5.47 ERA, and in the previous game this season that they both started, both teams combined for just 4 total runs. Both teams have top-8 bullpen ERA’s and the Royals average just 3.3 runs this season. This is going to be a low-scoring game, so take the under 8 in this one.