Red Sox vs Twins Prediction 07/30/2025 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 30th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 58-51 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 4-5 and 8-5. In their game two win, Boston scored the first five runs in the game and cruised to the easy win. The Red Sox recorded 10 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Story, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Boston started Giolito, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Chapman picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Dodgers, but lost two out of three against the Phillies before that. Boston has won four of their last six games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 532 runs with a .252 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with 20 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 16 home runs and 64 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 6-5 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 103.0 innings pitched this year. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 51-56 this season after they lost game two by a score of 8-5 on Tuesday night. Minnesota cut the deficit to 6-3 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Twins recorded 10 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Lee, who went 3-4 with two home runs and five RBIs in the loss. Minnesota started Ohl, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Tonkin and Funderburk allowed one earned run each. 

Prior to this series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Nationals and two out of three against the Dodgers. Minnesota has lost three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 450 runs with a .242 batting average and a .313 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton (IL) has led Minnesota with 23 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 13 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Zebby Matthews, who is 2-2 with a 4.97 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 29.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Twins

• The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Twins have lost four of their last five home games after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games at Target Field following a road win.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Red Sox following a loss.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Twins’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Red Sox’s last five games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Twins’ last nine games at Target Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Red Sox’s last six games against American League opponents.

Red Sox vs Twins Prediction

Boston was able to bounce back with a nice win on Tuesday night, as they continue to battle in the AL East. The Red Sox are 24-30 on the road this year, while the Twins are 30-23 at home. Minnesota has allowed at least seven runs in three of their last four games and they are starting Matthews, who has allowed at least four earned runs in two of his last four starts. Boston is going with Bello, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. The Red Sox are playing the better baseball right now and they have the pitching advantage. Take Boston -1.5 here.