Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction 8/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 10th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 64-53 this season after they lost two out of three against the Athletics by scores of 13-1, 3-7, and 4-3. In game three, Boston led 3-2 in the fifth inning, but went scoreless over the last four innings for the loss. The Red Sox recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by White, who went 3-4 with one RBI. Bello allowed three hits and one earned run over 4.0 innings, while Whitlock blew the save and Chapman picked up the loss. Prior to that series, Boston swept the White Sox in three games and swept the Dodgers in three games. 

This season, Boston has a 3.50 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 523 runs with a .248 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 23 home runs and 70 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 16 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Sonny Gray, who is 14-2 with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 119.2 innings pitched this season. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 56-63 this year after they won two out of three against the Phillies by scores of 5-4, 7-5, and 6-7. In game three, Toronto erased a 5-2 deficit in the eighth inning and led 6-5 in the 12th, but couldn’t hold on for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Gimenez, who went 1-5 with two RBIs. Bieber allowed six hits and five earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Estrada picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, Toronto lost a makeup game with the Cubs, but won two out of three against the Astros before that. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 469 runs with a .242 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 24 home runs and 70 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added eight home runs and 47 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jameson Taillon, who is 2-6 with a 5.96 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 80.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last seven games following a loss.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last four road games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against the Red Sox.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last seven night games after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 home games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five night games following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games at Rogers Centre against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last six road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Blue Jays’ last five home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Red Sox’s last seven games as road favorites against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in four of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games as underdogs against the Red Sox.
• Jameson Taillon has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Jameson Taillon has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a home underdog .

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in four of the Red Sox’s last seven road games.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded two or more hits in each of the Red Sox’s last five road games.
• Sonny Gray has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Red Sox as favorites.
• Sonny Gray has recorded a win in each of his last nine appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Boston comes into this matchup after a disappointing series with the Athletics, but they are still one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last two months. The Red Sox are 35-22 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 28-31 at home. Toronto has split their last four games, but they have scored 5+ runs in four of their last five. The Jays are starting Taillon, who has allowed 14 earned runs in his last 12.1 innings, while Gray has allowed 0, 4, and 5 earned runs in his last three starts. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 8.5