Jul 7, 2025; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Tigers right fielder Zach McKinstry (39) gets showered with sunflower seeds as he celebrates in the dugout after hitting a home run against the Tampa Bay Rays in the seventh inning at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images

Rays vs Tigers Prediction 07/08/2025 Picks

Pick details

Tampa Bay (49-42) vs Detroit (58-34)

July 8, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 8th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 49-42 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 5-1. Tampa Bay cut the deficit to 2-1 in the third inning, but they went scoreless over the last six innings for the loss. The Rays recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Aranda, who had their lone RBI in the loss. TB started Baz, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Gervase allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Athletics. Tampa Bay has lost six of their last eight games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 432 runs with a .259 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 21 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 19 home runs and 50 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Ryan Pepiot, who is 6-6 with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 102.1 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 58-34 this season after they won game one to start this series on Monday night. Detroit led 2-1 in the third inning and they added one run in the fifth and two in the seventh to seal the win. The Tigers recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Baez, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Detroit started Montero, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Holton picked up a hold in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers swept the Guardians in three games, but did lose two out of three against the Nationals before that. Detroit has won four games in a row and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 461 runs with a .253 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 22 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 20 home runs and 56 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jack Flaherty, who is 5-9 with a 4.84 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Rays
The Tigers have won 13 of their last 14 home games against AL East opponents.
The Rays have lost each of their last seven Tuesday games at Comerica Park.
The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against American League opponents.
The Tigers have covered the run line in six of their last seven games at Comerica Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Tigers have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts
Six of the Tigers’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Rays’ last five night games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rays’ last eight road games against AL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Tigers’ last six games at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two games as home favorites.
Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Colt Keith has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Jack Flaherty has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Tigers as home favorites against AL opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games.
Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Yandy Diaz has recorded a Double in three of the Rays’ last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Rays vs Tigers Prediction 
Detroit was able to get their fourth straight win to start this series on Monday and they have allowed a total of four runs in their last four games. The Tigers are 31-14 at home this year, while the Rays are 21-17 on the road. Tampa Bay continues to struggle over the last 10 days and they are starting Pepiot, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. Detroit is starting Flaherty, who has allowed 3, 3, 8, and 7 earned runs in his last four starts. I know Flaherty has been shaky in recent outings, but the Rays are having issues and Detroit has been great at home. Take the Tigers here. 

David Racey's Pick: Tigers ML

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