Jul 26, 2025; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Colorado Rockies left fielder Jordan Beck (27) throws the ball back into the infield against the Baltimore Orioles in the second inning at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Lexi Thompson-Imagn Images

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 08/03/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Pittsburgh (47-64) vs Colorado (30-80)

August 3, 2025 at 03:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado +175 — Over/Under: +11.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Colorado Rockies meet Sunday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Pittsburgh Pirates will send out Mitch Keller for the start here and Keller is 4-10 with a 3.69 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season. In his career, Keller is 2-1 with a 0.00 ERA and 20 strikeouts against the Rockies. Bradley Blalock will get the nod for the Rockies here and is 1-2 with a 7.09 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season. This will be Blalock’s first career start against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to rebound from an 8-5 loss at the hands of the Rockies last time out to sit at 47-64 this season. After this set, the Pirates will head home to take on the San Francisco Giants at PNC Park.

Pirates Looking To Avoid Sweep

Bryan Reynolds has 93 hits with 22 doubles, 10 home runs and 51 RBIs while also posting 118 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 17 home runs and 44 RBIs with 34 stolen bases while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 83 hits with 13 doubles and 12 stolen bases. Cruz also has a team-high 130 strikeouts as well this season. Tommy Pham has 12 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 84 hits with 15 doubles as well this season.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The Pirates have won eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
  • The Rockies have lost 20 of their last 23 day games following a win.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight day games following a home win.
  • The Rockies have lost the first inning in each of their last four games.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Andrew McCutchen has hit a home run in six of his last eight appearances at Coors Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mitch Keller has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Mitch Keller has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to add onto their victory over the Pirates from Saturday’s clash to improve to 30-80 this year. After this series, the Rockies will head home to take on the Toronto Blue Jays in an interleague series at Coors Field.

Rockies Win Back-To-Back Games

Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 100 hits including 20 doubles, 4 triples, 19 home runs and 59 RBIs while Michael Toglia has 58 hits with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 32 RBIs but also has 108 strikeouts. Kyle Farmer has 14 doubles while Jordan Beck has 12 home runs, 36 RBIs, 5 triples and 11 stolen bases. Brenton Doyle has 71 hits with 12 doubles, 7 home runs, 31 RBIs and 10 stolen bases. Mickey Moniak has 72 hits with 11 doubles, 6 triples and 16 home runs with 41 RBIs.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Pirates have lost each of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents.
  • The underdogs have won each of the Pirates’ last five games.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as road favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Brenton Doyle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kris Bryant has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against the Pirates.

Total Runs Facts

  • Nine of the Rockies’ last 10 day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Pirates’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

I’m taking the under in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but Keller has still been a solid option this season for the Pirates despite not being picked up at the trade deadline, and Blalock has started to pitch better in his recent outings. I think the total is fairly high for this matchup at Coors, and while the first two meetings have been high-scoring, I think this one deviates from that and ends up coming in under the number. Give me the under here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 11.5

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