Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 6/24/24

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Cincinnati Reds (36-40) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (37-39)

June 24, 2024 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -109 / Pittsburgh Pirates -109 — Over/Under: 9.5

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The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cincinnati Reds meet Monday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Pittsburgh Pirates will send out Bailey Falter for the start here and Falter is 3-5 with a 3.74 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. In his career, Falter is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA and 10 strikeouts against the Reds. The Cincinnati Reds will send out Carson Spiers for the start here and Spiers is 0-1 with a 3.20 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. This will be Spiers’ second career start against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates will try to rebound from a series loss to the Tampa Bay Rays following a 3-1 loss to the Rays in Sunday’s series finale. The series loss for the Pirates snapped a series win streak for Pittsburgh that included series wins over Cincinnati and the Rockies over the last week and a half.

Pirates Stumbling Offensively

Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 85 hits with 19 doubles along with 12 home runs and 43 RBIs while Andrew McCutchen has 10 home runs and Jack Suwinski has 5 stolen bases. Oneil Cruz leads the Pirates with 6 stolen bases and 91 strikeouts while also posting 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 31 RBIs and Connor Joe has a .239 batting average and 14 doubles as well this season.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The Pirates have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Reds have lost eight of their last nine games as home favorites following a home loss.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last six night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this one looking to bounce back after a series loss to the Boston Red Sox thanks to a 7-4 loss in Sunday’s rubber match. The loss for the Reds kept Cincinnati’s series losing streak alive after losses to the Pirates and Brewers over the last week and a half.

Reds Trying To Find Their Footing As Well

Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 69 hits, 13 home runs and 32 RBIs with 37 stolen bases along with a .243 batting average as well. Spencer Steer has a team-high 45 RBIs with 16 doubles and 12 stolen bases while Will Benson also has 12 doubles with 9 stolen bases but also has 97 strikeouts while De La Cruz has a team-high 103 strikeouts so far this season. Jeimer Candelario also has a team-leading 17 doubles as well as 14 home runs and 66 hits this season for Cincinnati.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

  • The Reds have won each of their last seven games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Pirates have lost 15 of their last 17 Monday road games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six Monday home games against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’m on the Reds here. I think there’s big time regression coming for Bailey Falter, and while Spiers had issues in his first start against the Pirates in his own right, I feel a lot better about the Reds offensively and I really feel better about them once the bullpen gets involved. The Pirates really let one get away against the Rays this weekend and I think Cincinnati gets some revenge here. Give me the Reds.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Cincinnati -109

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