May 31, 2026; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA;  Cincinnati Reds shortstop Elly de la Cruz (44) singles against Atlanta Braves pitcher Spencer Strider (99) in the fifth inning at Great American Ball Park. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images
Aaron Doster-Imagn Images

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 6/6/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Pittsburgh Pirates Atlanta Braves
Team Records 34-30 43-21
Where Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
When Saturday, June 6, 2026
Time 04:10 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, June 6th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 43-21 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 20-11 home record and are coming off a 6-3 home win against the Pirates. They will face the White Sox and the Cardinals next.

The Braves have a .258 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .434 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.22 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Drake Baldwin is the team’s best hitter with a .303 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 47, adding a team-high 17 home runs.

Spencer Strider (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 3-1 record, 3.77 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 34-30 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 16-15 road record and are coming off a 3-6 road defeat against the Braves. They will face the Dodgers and the Marlins next.

The Pirates have a .255 batting average this season, .338 OBP and .402 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .312 batting average. Oneil Cruz leads the team in RBI with 44, while Brandon Lowe adds a team-high 15 home runs.

Braxton Ashcraft (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 5-2 record, 2.77 ERA and 1.03 WHIP.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: June 6, 2026

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Spencer Strider      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 3.77
  • Home Record: 0-0
  • Last 5 against Pirates: 1-2

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Pirates have lost 15 of their last 17 games at Truist Park against teams that held a winning record.
  • The home team has won four of the Braves’ last five games.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft      Record this season: 5-2      ERA: 2.77
  • Road Record: 2-1
  • Last 5 against Braves: –

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The Pirates have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Braves following a loss.
  • The Braves have lost five of their last six games as favorites against the Pirates following a win.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Braves following a loss.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Pirates following a win.
  • The Pirates have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games.
  • The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Nine of the Pirates’ last 10 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Braves’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last seven home games against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Spencer Strider has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his six previous Saturday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Pirates.
  • Matt Olson ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (17) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Lowe has hit at least one home run in three of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last seven day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Oneil Cruz ranks 4th in the league in Steals (20) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Braves rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (329).
  • The Braves rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (335).
  • The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (564).
  • The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.338).

Pirates vs Braves Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and are 3-3 in their last 6 meetings in Atlanta.

In this Pirates vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -115 home favorites. The Pirates have the pitching edge in this matchup, as Braxton Ashcraft has been better than Spencer Strider. Ashcraft has been better on the road, while Strider has given up three runs in each of his last three starts. On top of that, the Pirates rank 6th in batting against righties in the last 10 days, while the Braves are just 18th, so I like the value with the Pirates as road dogs in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates ML

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