Aug 6, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies second baseman Luis Arraez (4) celebrates his RBI double during the first inning against the Washington Nationals at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Phillies vs Twins Prediction 8/13/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Philadelphia Phillies Minnesota Twins
Team Records 64-58 60-62
Spread -1.5 154 +1.5 -187
Moneyline -105 -114
Total Over 8.5 (-117) Under 8.5 (-103)
Where Field of Dreams, Dyersville, Iowa
When Thursday, August 13, 2026
Time 07:30 PM EDT
TV Netflix

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 13th at the Field of Dreams in Dyersville, Iowa. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 64-58 this season after they lost two out of three against the Cardinals by scores of 6-5, 0-2, and 1-7. In game three, Philadelphia tied the game at one in the fourth inning, but failed to score in the last five innings for the loss. The Phillies recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Arraez, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Wheeler allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Alvarado allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Philadelphia lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, but did win three out of four against the Nationals before that. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.20 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while they have scored 535 runs with a .237 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 35 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 25 home runs and 71 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 3-9 with a 5.47 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 125.0 innings pitched this season. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 60-62 this year after they won two out of three against the Orioles by scores of 9-5, 2-5, and 7-5. In game three, Minnesota trailed 4-1 in the third inning, but they scored the next six runs to get the win. The Twins recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Bell, who went 3-5 with one RBI. Matthews allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Gomez picked up the save. Prior to that series, Minnesota lost two out of three against the Brewers and two out of three against the Royals. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.60 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 571 runs with a .245 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 25 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 16 home runs and 72 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Taj Bradley, who is 9-4 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 131.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Phillies have lost eight of their last nine games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Twins have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have won five of their last six games against the Twins following a loss.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 13 of the Twins’ last 15 games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Twins’ last seven games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 11 of the Twins’ last 12 games against National League opponents.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last five night games against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Taj Bradley has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against NL opponents.
  • Royce Lewis has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last nine games as favorites.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Phillies vs Twins Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this matchup after a series loss against the Cardinals and they have allowed 5+ runs in four of their last five games. Minnesota took two out of three against Baltimore, but they have had some struggles over the last few weeks. The Twins are starting Bradley, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five starts, while Nola has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five outings. Take the Phillies to get the win here.

David Racey's Pick: Phillies ML

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