Phillies vs Orioles Prediction 8/1/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 1st at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 57-53 this year after they lost game one by a score of 4-6 on Friday night. Philadelphia led 4-2 in the sixth inning, but their bullpen fell apart for the loss. The Phillies recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Turner, who went 3-4 with one home run and one RBI. Painter allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Kerkering picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Philadelphia lost all three against the Marlins and two out of three against the Yankees. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.28 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 477 runs with a .236 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 33 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 22 home runs and 65 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 13-4 with a 2.73 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 138.2 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 54-56 this season after they won game one by a score of 6-4 last night. Baltimore tied the game at two in the first inning, but they needed four runs in the seventh to escape with the win. The Orioles recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Alonso, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Young allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Nunez got the win and Wells picked up the save. Prior to this series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Tigers, but lost two out of three against the Braves before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.20 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 507 runs with a .237 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 23 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 18 home runs and 47 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Shane Baz, who is 4-9 with a 3.98 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 122.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Phillies have lost eight of their last nine games.
• The home team has won each of the Phillies’ last five games.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Phillies following a win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Orioles following a loss.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last six Saturday night road games.
• The Orioles have lost five of their last six games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven Saturday night road games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Orioles’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last three games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Orioles’ last 10 games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last five night games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two home games.
• Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of his seven previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two road games.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Saturday night appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents.

Phillies vs Orioles Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this matchup on a four game losing streak and they have allowed 23 runs in those four losses. The Phillies are 29-26 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 30-27 at home. Baltimore has won three of their last four games and they have scored 24 runs during that span. The O’s are starting Baz, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, while Sanchez has allowed 3+ earned runs in two of his last four starts. Take the over here, as Baltimore has gone over 8 runs in four straight.

David Racey's Pick: Over 8