Phillies vs Mets Prediction 9/20/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 20th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 85-70 this season after they lost two of the first three games by scores of 3-0, 3-6, and 3-10. In game three, Philadelphia led 3-1 in the fifth inning, but they allowed the last nine runs for the loss. The Phillies recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Bohm, who went 2-3 with two RBIs. Painter allowed four hits and four earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Kerkering allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Philadelphia split two games with the Nationals and lost two out of three against the Braves. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while they have scored 690 runs with a .241 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 45 home runs and 95 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 28 home runs and 85 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 17-6 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 193.2 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 71-84 this year after they won game three by a score of 10-3 on Saturday. New York scored three runs in the fifth to take the lead and never looked back in the win. The Mets recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Alvarez, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Scott allowed six hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Yan picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost all three against the Orioles and two out of three against the Yankees. 

This season, New York has a 4.15 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 665 runs with a .239 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 26 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 16 home runs and 75 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jonah Tong, who is 2-1 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 21.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last three games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have lost eight of their last nine road games against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as road favorites against the Mets following a loss.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Mets have lost four of their last five home games following a home win.
• The favorites have won seven of the Phillies’ last eight games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games at Citi Field following a home win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five Sunday road games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs against NL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Phillies’ last five day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Phillies’ last seven day games at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Marcus Semien has recorded a hit in each of his last seven home appearances.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in four of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.
• Edmundo Sosa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.

Phillies vs Mets Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup looking for the series win and they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last five games. The Mets are 36-44 at home this year, while the Phillies are 44-36 on the road. Philadelphia has split their last four games and they have scored exactly three runs in five straight. The Phillies are starting Sanchez, who has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 12.1 innings, while Tong has allowed four earned runs in two of his last three outings. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 8