Aug 5, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA;  Texas Rangers shortstop Corey Seager (5) makes a diving stop to start a double play during the ninth inning against the New York Yankees at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Prediction 8/9/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Philadelphia (66-49) vs Texas (60-57)

August 9, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas -135 — Over/Under: +7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Texas Rangers meet Saturday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Texas Rangers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Jesus Luzardo for the start here and Luzardo is 10-5 with a 4.32 ERA and 147 strikeouts this season. In his career, Luzardo is 0-2 with a 3.71 ERA and 20 strikeouts against the Rangers. Jacob deGrom will start this one for the Rangers and is 10-4 with a 2.80 ERA and 135 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Phillies, deGrom is 1-0 with a 3.80 ERA and 30 strikeouts.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to build on their 9-1 win over the Rangers from Friday’s matchup to improve to 66-49 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.

Phillies Win 4 Of Their Last 5

Nick Castellanos has 114 hits with 23 doubles including 15 home runs and 60 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 109 hits with a team-high 41 home runs and 95 RBIs but also has a team-high 137 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 10 stolen bases, 25 doubles, 17 home runs and 48 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 134 hits with a team-high 26 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 15 doubles and Bryson Stott has 13 doubles, 3 triples, 7 homers and 46 RBIs while Stott also has 17 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won each of their last six night games against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have lost each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in five of the Phillies’ last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Trea Turner ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (134) this season.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Phillies on Friday to slip to 60-57 this season. After this series, the Rangers will square off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at home.

Rangers Drop Back-To-Back Games

Corey Seager has 83 hits including 16 home runs and 40 RBIs while Adolis Garcia has 95 hits with 22 doubles, 16 home runs, 63 RBIs and 10 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 80 hits with 10 doubles, 11 home runs and 44 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 86 hits with 17 doubles, 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 15 stolen bases and Jonah Heim has 9 homers and 35 RBIs. Josh Smith has chipped in 98 hits with 19 doubles, 9 home runs and 30 RBIs with 9 stolen bases and Marcus Semien’s added 13 homers and 56 RBIs but has 87 strikeouts this season.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Rangers have won each of their last 10 games as home favorites.
  • The Phillies have lost each of their last four games against AL West opponents following a win.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against AL West opponents following a road win.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adolis Garcia has hit at least one home run in four of the Rangers’ last six home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Burger has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Phillies’ last four games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Rangers’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Texas Rangers Prediction

I’m backing the Rangers in this one. The Rangers have started to pick up their play against left-handed pitching as of late and Luzardo has had a history of being up and down more often than not this season. deGrom is still one of baseball’s best and has a strong record/history against the Phillies from his past times as a New York Met earlier in his career. I think deGrom leads the Rangers to the W here so give me Texas.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Texas -135

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