Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 8/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and St. Louis Cardinals meet Monday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 63-56 on the year and play the Twins and Marlins next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .238 on the season, with a .308 OBP and a .401 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 119 hits and 47 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Brandon Marsh have combined for 222 hits and 123 RBI.

Andrew Painter gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 1-8 with a 6.48 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season. This will be Painter’s first career game against the St. Louis Cardinals.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 59-59 on the year and play the Reds and Cubs next. The St. Louis Cardinals are batting .241 on the season, with a .316 OBP and a .380 slugging percentage. The St. Louis Cardinals’ pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Jordan Walker leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 127 hits and 83 RBI, while Alec Burleson and Ivan Herrera have combined for 236 hits and 128 RBI3.60

Hunter Dobbins gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 2-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. This will be Dobbins’ first career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last four games against the Cardinals following a win.
• The Cardinals have won each of their last three night games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against the Phillies.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Cardinals have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a home win.
• The Phillies have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Cardinals.
• The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Phillies and Cardinals at Busch Stadium have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last six games against NL Central opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Cardinals’ last five games against NL East opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Ivan Herrera has hit a home run in two of his three previous home appearances against the Phillies.
• Hunter Dobbins has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Jordan Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Cardinals as favorites against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Phillies as road underdogs against NL opponents.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight road games.
• Luis Arraez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (143) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cardinals rank 26th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.380).
• The Cardinals rank 26th in the league for strikeouts this season (900).
• The Phillies rank 27th in the league for doubles this season (165).
• The Phillies rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.308).

Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

The Phillies are the better team and have had success on the road, but I’m not getting behind Painter and his 6.48 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. While he’s been better in his last two starts, the Phillies have lost each of his last 7 appearances. The Phillies haven’t won a game with Painter on the mound since May 18. The Cardinals need to protect home field and take advantage of bad pitching as they fight to stay in the wild card race. In a pick ’em spot, give me the Cards and the sharper pitcher in Dobbins.

Randy Chambers's Pick: St. Louis Cardinals