May 27, 2026; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Orioles first baseman Pete Alonso (25) hits a single during the eighth inning against the Toronto Blue Jays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Daniel Kucin Jr.-Imagn Images
Daniel Kucin Jr.-Imagn Images

Orioles vs Twins Prediction 8/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Baltimore Orioles Minnesota Twins
Team Records 57-61 58-61
Spread -1.5 144 +1.5 -175
Moneyline -112 -108
Total Over 8.5 (-109) Under 8.5 (-111)
Where Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
When Monday, August 10, 2026
Time 07:40 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 10th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 57-61 this season after they lost two out of three against the Rangers by scores of 1-2, 1-5, and 10-5. In game three, Baltimore scored five runs in the first two innings and never looked back in the high scoring win. The Orioles recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by Alonso, who went 3-3 with two home runs and four RBIs. Povich allowed four hits and three earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Hiraldo picked up the win in relief. Prior to that series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Angels, but lost two out of three against the Phillies before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.19 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 528 runs with a .235 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 25 home runs and 75 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 18 home runs and 47 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 7-7 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 115.2 innings pitched this season. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 58-61 this year after they lost two out of three against the Brewers by scores of 8-6, 3-4, and 3-4. In game three, Minnesota tied the game at three in the sixth inning, but they couldn’t find anymore offense and lost in the 10th. The Twins recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Clemens, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Prielipp allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Gomez picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, Minnesota lost two out of three against the Royals and two out of three against the Mariners. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.59 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 553 runs with a .243 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 25 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 15 home runs and 68 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Dean Kremer, who is 1-4 with a 5.93 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 41.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Orioles have lost each of their last 11 games at Target Field against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have won each of their last seven games at Target Field following a road loss.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at Target Field against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 road games against AL Central opponents.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won each of their last seven games at Target Field following a road win.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last five home games against the Orioles following a loss.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last seven games at Target Field following a road win.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Orioles at Target Field following a loss.
  • The Orioles have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Orioles’ last six games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the Twins’ last 10 home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in 12 of the Orioles’ last 13 games as favorites.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Bell has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Royce Lewis has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 11 games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Trevor Rogers has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Orioles as road favorites.
  • Leody Taveras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances at Target Field.

Orioles vs Twins Prediction 

Baltimore was able to snap their small losing streak with a win on Sunday afternoon, but they have scored one run in three of their last four games. The Orioles are 25-31 on the road this year, while the Twins are 30-27 at home. Minnesota has split their last four games, but they have scored three or fewer in three of their last five. The Twins are starting Kremer, who has allowed 1, 8, 6, 2, and 4 earned runs in his last five starts, while Rogers has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. Take the Orioles on the road.

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML

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