Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction 07/27/2025 Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 60-44 on the year and play the White Sox, Tigers, and Orioles next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .256 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and a .413 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 125 hits and 44 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 205 hits and 140 RBI. 

Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 9-3 with a 2.39 ERA and 164 strikeouts this season. Wheeler is 1-2 with a 7.18 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 56-48 on the year and play the Rays, Marlins, and Rangers next. The New York Yankees are batting .254 on the season, have a .333 OBP, and a .455 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 129 hits and 85 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt have combined for 206 hits and 95 RBI.

Carlos Rodon gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 10-7 with a 3.10 ERA and 139 strikeouts this season. Rodon is 1-0 with a 0.51 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The underdogs have won five of the Yankees’ last six games.
• The Phillies have lost three of their last five games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in five of the Yankees’ last six games.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games following a road win.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against American League opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The road team has won each of the last five games between the Phillies and Yankees.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last four home games.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games at Yankee Stadium.
• The road team has covered the run line in six of the last seven games between the Phillies and Yankees.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in each of their last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances at Yankee Stadium against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against the Phillies.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances at Yankee Stadium.
• Carlos Rodon ranks 8th in the league for total Strikeouts (139) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances with the Phillies as favorites against AL opponents.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous Sunday day appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances in day games.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Phillies as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Zack Wheeler ranks 3rd in the league for total Strikeouts (164) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction

You can make a case for the Yankees at home with Rodon on the mound, but they continue to pile up the losses, and it’s hard to back them with confidence, especially with inflated lines most nights. The Phillies are having a great week, and Wheeler is on the mound with a 2.39 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. In 56 road innings, Wheeler has a 2.89 ERA and a .201 allowed batting average. Wheeler has allowed seven earned runs in his last 46 innings. I’m rolling with the Phillies on Sunday.