Pick details
| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Phillies | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 84-68 | 69-82 |
| Spread | +1.5 -177 | -1.5 146 |
| Moneyline | +114 | -137 |
| Total | Over 8 (-114) | Under 8 (-106) |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Thursday, September 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies enter Thursday’s contest with an 84-68 overall record (2nd in the National League East) and a 43-34 mark on the road. The Phillies offense has been productive this season, compiling 681 runs scored, 226 doubles, a .241 team batting average and 177 home runs which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball.The Phillies arrive at tomorrow night’s game in good form. Philadelphia has won two of the team’s last three games played this season, including a convincing 9-4 victory over the Atlanta Braves three days ago.
The Philadelphia Phillies will turn to right hander Aaron Nola in this game. In 30 starts made in 2026, Nola has compiled a 6-10 win-loss record, a 4.69 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP and 165 strikeouts (25th in MLB) in 161.1 innings pitched. Aaron Nola arrives at this contest in elite form, allowing two earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts made this season.
The Phillies lineup features designated hitter Kyle Schwarber and first baseman Bryce Harper. Schwarber has amassed a team leading 45 home runs (1st in MLB), 95 RBIs and an .870 OPS which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Harper enters this contest with a .270 batting average and 20 home runs.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets enter Thursday’s matchup with a 69-83 overall record (5th in the National League East) and a 35-40 mark on the road. The Mets arrive at this contest in subpar form, losing the team’s last four games, including a 2-0 shutout loss to the New York Yankees three days ago.The Mets will start right hander Nolan McLean in this contest. In 29 starts made in 2026, McLean has compiled an 11-9 win-loss record, a 3.24 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP and 184 strikeouts (14th in MLB) in 161.2 innings pitched. Nolan McLean struggled in his most recent outing, allowing five earned runs while surrendering ten hits and one walk in the New York Yankees 6-4 defeat of the Mets last week.
The Mets lineup features Juan Soto and Carson Benge. Juan Soto has compiled a .271 batting average, 25 home runs, 61 RBIs, 10 doubles and a .907 OPS. Carson Benge has tallied a .270 batting average, 18 home runs, 58 RBIs, 19 doubles, 45 walks and a .746 OPS.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win.
• Starting pitching. Aaron Nola has accumulated 165 strikeouts in 161.1 innings pitched this season.• Ability to win on the road. The Phillies have tallied a robust 43-34 record away from home.
• Offensive firepower. Kyle Schwarber has amassed 45 home runs (1st in MLB) and 95 RBIs this season.
Why the New York Mets will win.
• Starting pitching. In 29 starts made in 2026, Nolan McLean has compiled an 11-9 win-loss record, a 3.24 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP and 184 strikeouts (14th in MLB) in 161.2 innings pitched.• Home field edge. The New York Mets have played competitive baseball at Citi Field.
• Enhanced motivation. The Mets arrive at this contest on the heels of a four-game losing streak.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Prediction
In my view, this matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies. Why? Philadelphia starting pitcher Aaron Nola arrives at this contest in elite form, allowing two earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts made this season, while New York hurler Nolan McLean struggled in his most recent outing, allowing five earned runs while surrendering ten hits and one walk in the New York Yankees 6-4 defeat of the Mets last week. Having stated that, the Phillies are the side to be on in this contest. I am backing the Philadelphia Phillies on the moneyline in this game.Hans Geevers's Pick: Philadelphia Phillies ML
