Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction 6/26/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets meet on Friday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 45-36 on the year and play the Pirates and Royals next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .236 on the season, with a .302 OBP and a .402 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 90 hits and 41 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Trea Turner have combined for 151 hits and 70 RBI.

Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 7-1 with a 2.11 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. Wheeler is 6-5 with a 3.36 ERA and 117 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 34-47 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Braves next. The New York Mets are batting .231 on the season, have a .299 OBP, and have a .377 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 83 hits and 45 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 141 hits and 68 RBI.

The New York Mets didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last eight night games against the Phillies at Citi Field following a loss.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last seven night games against the Mets at Citi Field following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games following a road win.
• The Phillies have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Friday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games at Citi Field.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last seven night games following a loss.
• The Phillies have won 11 of their last 12 night games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven games at Citi Field against teams that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Mets’ last five home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 15 of the Mets’ last 16 night games against NL East opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Alvarez has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four home games.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games against NL East opponents.
• Juan Soto ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in four of the Phillies’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.593) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.377).
• The Mets rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (741).
• The Phillies rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.302).
• The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank in the top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets didn’t announce a starter, but it doesn’t matter. The Mets continue to free-fall and aren’t a team you should be eager to back. The Phillies have found their footing over the last week, and Wheeler looks like his old self through 68.1 innings. Wheeler has a 2.11 ERA and 0.88 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 14 hits and 5 runs in his last 24.2 innings. On the road, Wheeler has a 2.17 ERA and a .205 allowed batting average. Nobody the Mets throw out there will be worth giving them a look. I’m rolling with the Phillies on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Philadelphia Phillies