Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 6/13/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, June 13th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers have a 42-25 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 22-13 home record and are coming off a 6-0 home win against the Phillies. They will face the Guardians and the Braves next.

The Brewers have a .254 batting average this season, .340 OBP and .390 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .285 batting average. Jake Bauers leads the team in RBI with 46, adding a team-high 13 home runs.

Shane Drohan (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 3-1 record, 3.11 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 37-32 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 18-15 road record and are coming off a 0-6 road defeat against the Brewers. They will face the Marlins and the Mets next.

The Phillies have a .226 batting average this season, .296 OBP and .385 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .322 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 42, adding a team-high 24 home runs.

Aaron Nola (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 3-4 record, 5.86 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: June 13, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Drohan      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 3.11
• Home Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Phillies: –

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have won the first inning in four of their last five night games.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola      Record this season: 3-4      ERA: 5.86
• Road Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Brewers: 2-2

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last seven games following a road loss.
• The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six road games following a loss.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Phillies following a win.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last eight night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Brewers’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Phillies’ last six games.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against the Phillies.
• Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Nola has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances against the Brewers.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (24) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (654).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).
• The Phillies rank 29th in the league for hits this season (519).
• The Phillies rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (90).

Phillies vs Brewers Prediction

The Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Phillies but both teams are tied 3-3 in their last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.

In this Phillies vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -140 home favorites. Nola takes the mound for the Phillies and I don’t trust him against one of the best teams in baseball. He has been struggling this season and has given up 3+ runs in seven of his ten starts. The Brewers have the second-best offense in baseball, while the Phillies are tied for 26th, so take the Brewers to win this one at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Milwaukee Brewers ML