Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction 7/27/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins meet Monday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Zack Wheeler for the start here and Wheeler is 10-2 with a 2.16 ERA and 117 strikeouts this season. Tyler Phillips will start for Miami here and Phillips is 2-5 with a 3.52 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to add on to their 11-4 win over the New York Yankees last time out to sit at 57-49 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Baltimore Orioles.

Phillies Snap Four-Game Slide

Kyle Schwarber has 96 hits with 12 doubles, 33 home runs and 62 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 106 hits with 15 doubles, 16 home runs and 47 RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 72 hits with 12 doubles, 3 triples, 2 home runs and 22 RBIs. Trea Turner has 103 hits with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 41 RBIs and Bryce Harper’s added 94 hits with 20 doubles, 21 home runs and 61 RBIs this season.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to shake off their 5-3 loss at the hands of the San Diego Padres to sit at 52-54 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the New York Mets.

Marlins Losing Skid Continues

Xavier Edwards has 112 hits with 14 doubles, 6 triples, 6 home runs and 37 RBIs while Otto Lopez has 133 hits with 27 doubles, 6 triples, 9 homers and 47 RBIs and Liam Hicks has added 91 hits with 9 doubles, 14 home runs and 60 RBIs. Connor Norby has 41 hits with 12 doubles, 4 home runs and 16 RBIs and Owen Caissie has 52 hits with 12 doubles, 12 homers and 50 RBIs. Jakob Marsee also has 67 hits with 11 doubles, 3 triples, 5 home runs and 25 RBIs this season. Kyle Stowers has also chipped in 71 hits with 18 doubles, 3 triples, 13 home runs and 45 RBIs.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: July 27, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Phillips      Record this season: 2-5      ERA: 3.52
• Home Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Phillies: 0-1

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The underdogs have won seven of the Marlins’ last eight games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the Marlins’ last 10 games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as home underdogs.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler      Record this season: 10-2      ERA: 2.16
• Road Record: 6-1
• Last 5 against Marlins: 4-0

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last 12 games.
• The Phillies have won each of their last 11 Monday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last nine Monday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in four of their last five games.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight night games against the Marlins.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last seven night games at LoanDepot Park.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last six road games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in each of the Marlins’ last three games as home underdogs against NL opponents.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four road games against NL opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 14 of his last 16 appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Marlins.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank T1st in the league for triples this season (24).
• The Marlins rank T1st in the league for triples this season (24).
• The Phillies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
• The Phillies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction

I’m on the Phillies here. I just think Philadelphia’s the better team and right now, the Marlins are just unbackable until they show a pulse as Miami keeps finding new and creative ways to rack up L’s during this losing streak. Wheeler has unequivocally been the staff ace for Philadelphia this season and I look for another dominant showing from him here. Give me the Phillies.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Philadelphia -175