Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 4/3/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Colorado Rockies meet Friday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadephia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Aaron Nola for the start here and Nola is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Rockies, Nola is 0-2 with a 3.31 ERA and 25 strikeouts. Michael Lorenzen will start this one for the Rockies and is 0-0 with a 6.23 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lorenzen is 0-2 with an 11.42 ERA against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to add on to their 6-5 win over Washington last time out to improve to 3-3 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the San Francisco Giants.

Phillies Win Back-To-Back Games

Adolis Garcia has 7 hits with a pair of doubles, a home run and three RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 4 hits with a double, 2 home runs and 4 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 7 hits with a pair of doubles and a pair of RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 7 hits with a double and an RBI. Trea Turner has 5 hits with a double and Bryce Harper’s added 3 hits with a home run and three RBIs this season. 

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to add on to their 2-1 win over the Toronto Blue Jays last time out to sit at 2-4 this season. After this series, the Rockies will take on the Houston Astros at home.

Rockies Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

TJ Rumfield has 9 hits with a double, a home run and three RBIs while Ezequiel Tovar has 8 hits with 2 doubles, a home run and 5 RBIs. Hunter Goodman’s added 7 hits with a double, a home run and two RBIs and Jordan Beck has 4 RBIs as well on the year.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: April 3, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 6.23
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Phillies: 1-2

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Rockies have won three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 11 of the Phillies’ last 12 games.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites.
• The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games at Coors Field.
• The Rockies have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against the Phillies at Coors Field.
• The Rockies have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home openers as underdogs against National League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 5.40
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Rockies: 0-2

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Rockies have lost each of their last 11 games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have won each of their last eight games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last eight games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games at Coors Field against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road openers against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Rockies’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Phillies’ last 11 games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last seven games as road favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last seven home games against NL East opponents.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Hunter Goodman has hit a home run in four of his last six home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against former teams.
• Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Jake McCarthy ranks T1st in the league in Steals (4) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last five games against the Rockies.
• Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Phillies as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (9).
• The Rockies rank 29th in the league for walks this season (13).
• The Phillies rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.46).
• The Phillies rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (61).

Philadephia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

I’m on the over here. Aaron Nola’s been a home run magnet for the better part of the last few years so getting him in the thin air of Coors for their home opener can only help the Rockies here in my eyes. On the other side, Michael Lorenzen’s been torched by the Phillies in his career, including in a start against them last season, and I think it could easily happen here before two shaky bullpens get their hands on this game. Give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 10