Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 7/8/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Cincinnati Reds meet Wednesday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. Cincinnati will send out Chase Burns here and Burns is 10-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 116 strikeouts this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to add on to their 4-1 win over Cincinnati last time out to sit at 51-41 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Detroit Tigers.

Phillies Split Last 6 Games

Going into Tuesday, Adolis Garcia has 45 hits with 8 doubles, 7 home runs and 21 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 82 hits with 9 doubles, 30 home runs and 55 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 98 hits with 15 doubles, 15 home runs and 46 RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 65 hits with 12 doubles, 2 triples, 2 home runs and 19 RBIs. Trea Turner has 89 hits with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 31 RBIs and Bryce Harper’s added 86 hits with 16 doubles, 20 home runs and 57 RBIs this season.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds will be out to bounce back from a loss at the hands of the Phillies on Tuesday to sit at 41-49 this season. After this series, the Reds will take on the Chicago Cubs in a series at home.

Reds Drop 3 Of Last 4

Entering Tuesday, Elly De La Cruz has 76 hits with 14 doubles, 2 triples, 13 home runs and 41 RBIs while Sal Stewart has 86 hits with 21 doubles, 17 home runs and 61 RBIs. Spencer Steer has 70 hits with 12 doubles, 14 home runs and 36 RBIs and Matt McLain has 51 hits with 13 doubles, 8 home runs and 25 RBIs. JJ Bleday’s added 51 hits with 11 doubles, 13 home runs and 37 RBIs as well on the year.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends: July 8, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Chase Burns      Record this season: 10-1      ERA: 2.40
• Home Record: 5-1
• Last 5 against Phillies: 1-0

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last eight Wednesday games at Great American Ball Park.
• The Reds have won seven of their last eight home games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games following a road win.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against NL East opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Reds have lost each of their last eight night games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have won seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Phillies’ last six road games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Reds’ last five home games against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last four games against National League opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Phillies.
• Chase Burns has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
• Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
• Chase Burns ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (10) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in six of the Phillies’ last eight night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (684).
• The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.227).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (895).
• The Phillies rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.304).

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’m on the Reds in this one. I think that Burns is a fantastic starting option for this Reds rotation and the Reds have backed him up in a lot of his starts to where he has one of the best team records in baseball. I think the Reds back up Burns again against whoever the Phillies send out here and I think Cincinnati walks out with the win here. Give me Cincy.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Cincinnati -138