Sep 7, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber (12) reacts after hitting a home run during the eighth inning against the Atlanta Braves at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 9/13/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Philadelphia Phillies Atlanta Braves
Team Records 82-67 88-61
Spread +1.5 -189 -1.5 155
Moneyline +109 -131
Total Over 9 (-105) Under 9 (-114)
Where Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
When Sunday, September 13, 2026
Time 01:35 PM EDT
TV ESPN Unlmtd

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves will meet Sunday afternoon in a National League East matchup at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at this matchup from a betting perspective.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies enter Sunday’s matchup with an 82-67 overall record (2nd in the National League East) and a rather impressive 41-34 mark at home. The Phillies offense has been productive this season. Philadelphia has compiled 666 runs scored (14th in MLB), 217 doubles, a .241 batting average and 175 home runs which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball.  

The Phillies arrive at tomorrow’s game in below average form. Philadelphia has lost four of the team’s last five games, including a 6-5 loss to the Atlanta Braves two days ago.  

The Phillies will turn to right hander Andrew Painter in this game. In 20 starts made in 2026, Painter has compiled a 3-9 win-loss record, a 5.71 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP and 97 strikeouts in 110.1 innings pitched. Andrew Painter struggled in his most recent start, allowing five earned runs, ten hits and six walks across five innings pitched in the Houston Astros 6-5 defeat of the Phillies last week.  

The Phillies lineup features Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper. Kyle Schwarber has amassed 44 home runs (1st in MLB), 92 RBIs and an .868 OPS which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper has tallied 28 home runs, 83 RBIs, 29 doubles and an .885 OPS.                                                                

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves enter Sunday’s contest with an 88-61 overall record (1st in the National League East) and a 51-26 mark at home. The Braves arrive at this contest on the heels of a three-game winning streak, including a 3-1 victory over the Tampa Bay Rays two days ago.

The Braves will start right hander Grant Holmes in this contest. In 27 starts made in 2026, Holmes has compiled a 9-5 win-loss record, a 3.46 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP and 110 strikeouts in 137.2 innings pitched. Grant Holmes arrives at this matchup in excellent form, allowing no earned runs across his last nine innings pitched. Holmes will look to continue his recent outstanding pitching in tomorrow’s matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Atlanta Braves lineup features first baseman Matt Olson and Michael Harris II. Matt Olson has compiled a .247 batting average, 38 home runs (4th in MLB), 82 RBIs and an .823 OPS which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Michael Harris II has amassed a .288 batting average (18th in MLB), 25 home runs, 32 doubles, 20 walks, 83 RBIs and an .804 OPS.                 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win.

• Offensive firepower. Kyle Schwarber has amassed 44 home runs which ranks first in Major League Baseball.

• Enhanced motivation. The Philadelphia Phillies have lost four of the team’s last five games.  

• Ability to win on the road. The Phillies have compiled a 41-34 record away from home in 2026.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win.

• Starting pitching. Grant Holmes has compiled a 9-5 win-loss record, a 3.46 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP and 110 strikeouts in 137.2 innings pitched.

• Current form. The Atlanta Braves have won three consecutive games entering this matchup.

• Home field edge. The Braves have played exceptional baseball at home, amassing a 51-26 record at Truist Park this season.  

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

In my opinion, this matchup favors the Atlanta Braves. Why? Atlanta starting pitcher Grant Holmes arrives at this matchup in excellent form, allowing no earned runs across his last nine innings pitched this season. Additionally, the Braves have played at a high level at home, compiling a robust 51-26 win-loss record at Truist Park. With that said, Atlanta is the clear side to be on in this one. I am backing the Atlanta Braves on the moneyline in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Atlanta Braves ML

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